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Kathy苏苏 · 2020年09月13日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000046

问题如下:

Jacques is the portfolio manager of AB pension and she considers adding PZ Inc. to her portfolio. Previously, she believed the company would have extraordinary growth for 4 years and normal growth thereafter. After carefully considering the characteristics of the company and its competitors, she is wondering what the consequences would be if the duration of the first stage was assumed to be 8 years instead of 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Which of the following statement is true?

Statement 1: If the H model is used, the total value estimated would increase.

Statement 2: By using DDM, the proportion of the total value of the stock represented by the second stage would not change.

选项:

A.

Statement 1.

B.

Statement 2.

C.

Both of it.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:DDM& H-model

解析:A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。

老师,请讲解下statement2中proportion(比例)具体是怎么变化的,谢谢。

1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年09月14日

同学你好,两阶段股票价值=高速增长部分的现值+低速增长部分的现值。第二阶段一般用GGM来计算。根据GGM,V0=D1/(r-g) ,高速增长阶段从4年延长至8年,公式分子D1相应从第五年的Dividend5增至Dividend9。高速增长时间越长,GGM计算出来的终值也就越大。

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