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HG · 2020年08月30日

问一道题:NO.PZ201812100100000307

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问题如下:

Based on Exhibits 2 and 3, as well as Holmstead’s assumption about future health care inflation, the debt-to-equity ratio calculated by Rickards for XYZ should be closest to:

选项:

A.

2.69.

B.

2.71.

C.

2.73.

解释:

C is correct.

To calculate the debt-to-equity ratio, both liabilities and total equity need to be adjusted for the estimated impact of a 100-bp increase in health care costs. The proposed increase in health care costs will increase total liabilities and decrease equity by the same amount. Consequently, the debt-to-equity ratio changes as follows:

Sensitivity of benefit obligation to 100-bp increase = $93 Adjusted liabilities = $17,560 + $93 = $17,653

Adjusted equity = $6,570 – $93 = $6,477

Adjusted debt-to-equity ratio = $17,653/$6,477 = 2.7255 ₤ 2.73

Consequently, a 100-bp increase in health care costs increases the debt-to-equity ratio to approximately 2.73.

解析:原来的liability是17560,原来的equity是6570。如果假设health care inflation变高100个bp,liability会增加93,从资产负债表调平角度看,由于Health care inflation的改变不会改变asset,那么可以推出equity会相应减少93。计算出Debt-to-equity ratio=(17560+93)/(6570-93)=2.73。

老师plan asset减去PBO作为funded status体现在B/S表的Asset一端,难么PBO就不应该再体现在Liab一端了啊,那么PBO增加了93应该对Asset影响是减少了93,Liab应该是不变的,相应的为了调平Equity应该减少93,而且此题也不是很严谨啊,如果funded status有ceiling的话可能还会没有影响啊,我的思路对吗?

1 个答案

Olive_品职助教 · 2020年08月31日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


分析师计算ratio的时候通常是要把funded status里的资产和负债还原的, 这样才能反映经济实质。

所以计算ratio的时候PBO增加就是负债增加,否则计算debt/equity这个ratio的时候分子不变,不能体现公司负债增加这个实质。

同理这里也不考虑ceiling的作用。


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NO.PZ201812100100000307问题如下 Baseon Exhibits 2 an3, well Holmsteas assumption about future health care inflation, the bt-to-equity ratio calculateRickar for XYZ shoulclosest to: A.2.69.B.2.71.C.2.73. C is correct.To calculate the bt-to-equity ratio, both liabilities antotequity neeto austefor the estimateimpaof a 100-increase in health care costs. The proposeincrease in health care costs will increase totliabilities ancrease equity the same amount. Consequently, the bt-to-equity ratio changes follows:Sensitivity of benefit obligation to 100-increase = $93 Austeliabilities = $17,560 + $93 = $17,653Austeequity = $6,570 – $93 = $6,477Austebt-to-equity ratio = $17,653/$6,477 = 2.7255 ₤ 2.73Consequently, a 100-increase in health care costs increases the bt-to-equity ratio to approximately 2.73.考点养老金假设的改变。解析如果假设health care inflation变高100个bp,health care inflation上升,未来的义务上升,PBO上升,所以负债上升。liability会增加93。从资产负债表调平角度看,由于Health care inflation的改变不会改变asset,那么可以推出equity会相应减少93。计算出bt-to-equity ratio=(17560+93)/(6570-93)=2.73。【提示】1、为什么不考虑expense增加12?养老金费用一是会影响PBO的金额,二是会在损益表或者OCI里确认,损益表和OCI最终影响的就是equity。expense的增加对liability的影响已经考虑在了93这个数字里面,不需要重复考虑了。2、inflation上升为什么不影响plasset?但整体不影响plasset,因为asset只受contribution和真实投资收益的影响。 Benefit obligation 是servicost 吗? Benefit expense 是记录在 o里的重评估项吗

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