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pourquoi · 2020年08月18日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000139 [ CFA II ]

问题如下:

Sara, a junior equity research in a small securities company, is comparing a company’s value with its peer group. The company, named HomeWithLove, operates in the real estate industry. The information about the company is shown below:

The current stock price as of Jan 2018 is $35

The information about earnings per share of the company is:

The forward P/E of the company’s peers:

Based on the information above, and using the harmonic mean of the peer group forward P/E as the benchmark, which of the following is correct?

选项:

A.

Compared with the benchmark, HomeWithLove is undervalued.

B.

Compared with the benchmark, HomeWithLove is overvalued.

C.

Compared with the benchmark, HomeWithLove is fairly valued.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:考察Forward P/E相对估值法,考察Harmonic mean的计算。

解析:

Harmonic mean的计算公式为:

XH=ni=1n1xi=516.7+17.2+113.2+14.5+15.56.51X_H=\frac n{\displaystyle\sum_{i=1}^n\frac1{x_i}}=\frac5{\displaystyle\frac1{6.7}+\frac1{7.2}+\frac1{13.2}+\frac1{4.5}+\frac1{5.5}}\approx6.51

则比较的Benchmark为6.51

而当前Homewithlove的股票价格为35,其2018(E)年的EPS为7.0,所以其Forward P/E为35/7=5.

当前由于HomeWithLove的Forward P/E小于行业的平均Forward P/E所以公司相对被低估。

我用benchmark的harmonic mean 6.51 * 7 = 45.57。合理定价时应该卖45.57,但现在卖35,现价被undervalue了。 这样去理解也可以吗?
1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年08月19日

同学你好,你的理解也是可以的

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NO.PZ2018103102000139问题如下Sara junior equity researin a small securities company, is comparing a company’s value with its peer group. The company, nameHomeWithLove, operates in the reestate instry. The information about the company is shown below:The current stopriof J2018 is $35The information about earnings per share of the company is:The forwarP/E of the company’s peers:Baseon the information above, anusing the harmonic meof the peer group forwarP/E the benchmark, whiof the following is correct?A.Comparewith the benchmark, HomeWithLove is unrvalueB.Comparewith the benchmark, HomeWithLove is overvalueC.Comparewith the benchmark, HomeWithLove is fairly valueA is correct.考点考察ForwarP/E相对估值法,考察Harmonic mean的计算。解析Harmonic mean的计算公式为XH=n∑i=1n1xi=516.7+17.2+113.2+14.5+15.5≈6.51X_H=\frn{\splaystyle\sum_{i=1}^n\frac1{x_i}}=\frac5{\splaystyle\frac1{6.7}+\frac1{7.2}+\frac1{13.2}+\frac1{4.5}+\frac1{5.5}}\approx6.51XH​=i=1∑n​xi​1​n​=6.71​+7.21​+13.21​+4.51​+5.51​5​≈6.51则比较的Benchmark为6.51而当前Homewithlove的股票价格为35,其2018(E)年的EPS为7.0,所以其ForwarP/E为35/7=5.当前由于HomeWithLove的ForwarP/E小于行业的平均ForwarP/E所以公司相对被低估。不因该是p/e取倒数求和再取倒数么 不是应该是1么 为什么是n呢 谢谢

2023-02-19 16:44 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000139 如题

2022-01-03 21:36 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000139 如果这题目给了权重,这个harmonic该怎么算,请求老师举个例子,因为光有公司还是不太懂

2021-12-14 23:35 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000139 为什么HOmeWithLove 的EPS不用取平均值来计算,题目中只提到peer company 用forwarP/E

2021-03-15 21:41 1 · 回答

Comparewith the benchmark, HomeWithLove is overvalue Comparewith the benchmark, HomeWithLove is fairly value A is correct. 考点考察ForwarP/E相对估值法,考察Harmonic mean的计算。 解析 Harmonic mean的计算公式为 XH=n∑i=1n1xi=516.7+17.2+113.2+14.5+15.5≈6.51X_H=\frn{\splaystyle\sum_{i=1}^n\frac1{x_i}}=\frac5{\splaystyle\frac1{6.7}+\frac1{7.2}+\frac1{13.2}+\frac1{4.5}+\frac1{5.5}}\approx6.51XH​=i=1∑n​xi​1​n​=6.71​+7.21​+13.21​+4.51​+5.51​5​≈6.51 则比较的Benchmark为6.51 而当前Homewithlove的股票价格为35,其2018(E)年的EPS为7.0,所以其ForwarP/E为35/7=5. 当前由于HomeWithLove的ForwarP/E小于行业的平均ForwarP/E所以公司相对被低估。这个为什么和李老师讲的harmonic mean计算方法不一样,这两种方法我都知道原理,但是什么时候用权重(pe ratio倒数的权重)一样的,什么时候用权重不一样的???

2020-12-28 10:30 1 · 回答