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Cherry9520 · 2020年08月16日

问一道题:NO.PZ201720190200000307

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

7. The most appropriate response to the new committee member’s question is that:

选项:

A.

roll returns are negatively correlated with price returns.

B.

such roll returns are the result of futures markets in backwardation.

C.

such positions may outperform other positions that have positive roll returns.

解释:

C is correct.

Investment positions are evaluated on the basis of total return, and the roll return is part of the total return. Even though negative roll return negatively affects the total return, this effect could be more than offset by positive price and collateral returns. Therefore, it is possible that positions with negative roll returns outperform positions with positive roll returns, depending on the price and collateral returns.

B为什么不对?

1 个答案

韩韩_品职助教 · 2020年08月18日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,目前根据题目给出的已知条件,现在的市场上的期货roll yield是负的,在roll yield 负的情况下,期货价格应该是处于contango,而不是backwardation。


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NO.PZ201720190200000307 问题如下 7. The most appropriate response to the new committee member’s question is that: A.roll returns are negatively correlatewith prireturns. B.suroll returns are the result of futures markets in backwartion. C.supositions moutperform other positions thhave positive roll returns. C is correct. Investment positions are evaluateon the basis of totreturn, anthe roll return is part of the totreturn. Even though negative roll return negatively affects the totreturn, this effecoulmore thoffset positive priancollaterreturns. Therefore, it is possible thpositions with negative roll returns outperform positions with positive roll returns, penng on the priancollaterreturns. “Therefore, it is possible thpositions with negative roll returns outperform positions with positive roll returns, penng on the priancollaterreturns.” 最后这段话是什么意思?老师可以帮忙下吗?

2022-10-02 19:50 1 · 回答

请问A错了是不是因为price上升(positive prireturn)也可能会有positive roll return? 比如 今年2月 ¥50 4月的FP=¥30 然后到了7月¥70 8月FP=¥60, absolute value来看是上升 positive prireturn 而且是backwartion 有positive roll return? 所以两者的关系是(1)contango一定是价格上升,但价格上升不一定能证明是contango,判断是否contango还是backwartion要看到期的FP价格和最近一期要roll买入的FP价格,和价格上升下降的曲线没有关系。请问是这样理解的吗? 谢谢

2020-11-13 07:19 1 · 回答

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2020-05-25 03:29 1 · 回答

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2020-02-24 12:46 1 · 回答