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papher · 2020年08月06日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016070201000042

问题如下:

New copula correlation models were used by traders and risk managers during the 2007-2009 global financial crisis. This led to miscalculations in the underlying risk for structured products such as collateralized debt obligation (CDO) models. Which of the following statements least likely explains the failure of these new copula correlation models during the financial crisis?

选项:

A.

The copula correlation models assumed a negative correlation between the equity and senior tranches of CDOs.

B.

Correlations for equity tranches of CDOs increased during the financial crisis.

C.

The correlation copula models were calibrated with data from time periods that had low risk.

D.

Correlations for senior tranches of CDOs decreased during the financial crisis.

解释:

D is correct. During the crisis, the correlations for both the equity and senior tranches of CDOs significantly increased causing losses in value for both.

这部分是讲义 99页的结论,想问一下 ,correlation 下降是指从+1到-1方向的下降 ,还是说correlation的绝对值 大小 下降了呢?为什么危机时,equity和mezzanine的相关性降低,而senior部分的相关性在提高?

1 个答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2020年08月07日

同学你好,

correlation指的是方向的下降。

因为危机的时候,市场情况不好,senior层内的违约情况也都在增高。所以senior层之间的correlation也在上升。

equity和mezzanine的相关性降低,说的是mezzanie 作为好的代表,equity作为差的资产,二者之间的相关性下降。