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陈Shelly · 2020年08月01日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091705000055

问题如下:

John C. Hill, sole owner of JCH Equipment Leasing Co. (JCH), is evaluating a future sale of his company and approaches Mary Keller, a wealth adviser, for advice.

Statement 1:

Hill: I would like to sell JCH in three to five years and use the proceeds to fund my retirement. Up to this point. I have reinvested the majority of the profits back into the business and have not accumulated any meaningful wealth outside the business.

Keller: The first thing we need to consider is the cyclical nature of the equipment leasing industry. Although the economy is expending today, the stage of the business cycle three years from now is uncertain.

Identify what type of investment risk is being discussed by Hill and Keller (systematic or non-systematic) . Justify the choice.

选项:

解释:

Discussion 1 best describes systematic risk.

Systematic risk is the component of risk that cannot be eliminated by holding a well-diversified portfolio. Systematic risk includes macroeconomic factors such as unexpected changes in the level of real business activity and unexpected changes in the inflation rate. Given the cyclical nature of the equipment leasing business and 3 to 5 year target horizon to sell the company, Hill's concentrated position in JCH is exposed systematic risk.

他们的讨论包括:sell JCH in three to five years and use the proceeds to fund my retirement. Up to this point. I have reinvested the majority of the profits back into the business 

一直是在同一个行业中周转,后面也提到这个行业的周期性质,这不就是在讨论该行业的specific的非系统性风险吗?

4 个答案

王暄_品职助教 · 2020年08月05日

同学你好,上一条回的是错的,是我弄混淆了,我重新给你整理下,希望你这次能听懂:)

Hill是把所有资产都集中在了他这家公司里,从Hill的这段话我们能感觉到有非系统性风险在里面。因为Hill的钱只在他自己的公司内周转。

再看Keller的话“The first thing we need to consider is the cyclical nature of the equipment leasing industry. Although the economy is expending today, the stage of the business cycle three years from now is uncertain.”这里说到的就是关于系统性风险。因为非系统风险亦称“非市场风险”、“可分散风险”,是与整体经济、股票市场、期货市场、外汇市场等相关金融投机市场波动无关的风险。非系统风险是由特殊因素引起的,如企业的管理问题、上市公司的劳资问题等,是某一企业或行业特有的风险,只影响某些股票的收益。

非系统性风险主要包括:信用风险、财务风险、流动性风险、操作风险、经营风险。这些都是和整个金融市场无关的风险。这题里提到的顾虑并没有说到这些风险,说到的依然是经济周期所给行业带来的不稳定因素,所以是系统性风险。

Keller提到的顾虑并没有说到这些风险,说到的依然是经济周期所给行业带来的不稳定因素,所以是系统性风险。即在阐述她担心Hill的资产exposed to systematic risk。但凡跟整体经济,经济周期沾上边了,基本都是系统性风险了。

王暄_品职助教 · 2020年08月04日

  • 或者同学这么想,“non-systematic risk”又名 “non-diversifiable risk”即不可分散掉的风险。你看这个statement里说的,由于经济周期会给租赁行业带来影响,所以3-5年内,这个行业或者这个公司的情况都是未知的。
  • 那么我们是否可以通过去投资别的行业,别的公司,去分散化这个风险呢?如果这样的风险可以通过分散化投资解决,则是systematic risk。

陈Shelly · 2020年08月04日

不是系统性风险不可分散吗?

王暄_品职助教 · 2020年08月04日

非系统性风险指的是,这家公司本身会带来的特有的风险,比如这家公司自己违约了,类似这样的event risk,和经济的好坏基本无关。而这里所说的是整个经济为整个行业所带来的风险。

王暄_品职助教 · 2020年08月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


  • Non-systematic risk是指这个公司受到的非系统性风险,比如公司的产品质量问题,或者公司在某个负债上违约所带来的问题。就是说无论外面的世界如何,这种问题只会影响到这家公司本身,才叫做非系统性风险。
  • 题中Keller说到的:“Although the economy is expending today, the stage of the business cycle three years from now is uncertain“,注意句子里的“economy",指的是大的宏观经济问题,也就是systematic risk。你说到的“sell JCH in three to five years and use the proceeds to fund my retirement. Up to this point. I have reinvested the majority of the profits back into the business”尽管他的钱是在自己的公司内周转,但担心的就是这个行业这家公司,在将来如果受到宏观经济的影响,行业的盈利能力下滑了怎么办。这里担心的问题,不仅会影响到John的公司,也会影响到其他公司、行业,甚至整个宏观经济,所以这个是系统性风险。

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wosmomo · 2020年08月03日

还是觉得是非系统风险

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NO.PZ2018091705000055 scussion 1 best scribes systematic risk. Systematic risk is the component of risk thcannot eliminateholng a well-versifieportfolio. Systematic risk inclus macroeconomic factors suunexpectechanges in the level of rebusiness activity anunexpectechanges in the inflation rate. Given the cyclicnature of the equipment leasing business an3 to 5 yetarget horizon to sell the company, Hill's concentrateposition in Jis exposesystematic risk. 1、这两个人的对话应该是两种风险都提到了吧,第一个人已经意识到了资产过于集中的问题 2、系统性风险=市场风险,非系统性风险=流动性风险、信用风险等,可以这样理解么?

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2020-09-09 10:44 1 · 回答

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2020-08-03 19:48 1 · 回答

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