问题如下:
A stock with beta of 0.5 is selling for $30 and pay $4 dividend at year end, if the price should be $32 at year end. The stock is undervalued or overvalued? Assuming the risk-free rate is 8%, expected market return is 16%.
选项:
A. The sotck is undervalued, investor should buy it.
B. The stock is overvalued, investor should short it.
C. The sotck is fairly valued, investor should buy it.
解释:
A is correct.
Expected return on CAPM = 8 + 0.5(16 - 8) = 12%
Estimated return on stock = (32 - 30 + 4) / 30 = 20%
The estimated return is higher than expected return on CAPM, indicating that the stock is undervalued, investor should buy it.
回报高,价格低,被低估,这个逻辑始终转不过来