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shirley_hd · 2020年07月11日

问一道题:NO.PZ201902210100000103

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

Among the carry trades available in the US, Euro, and UK markets, the highest expected return for the USD-denominated portfolio over the next 6 months is closest to:

选项:

A.

0.275%.

B.

0.85%.

C.

0.90%.

解释:

B is correct.

The highest potential return, 0.85%, reflects borrowing USD for 6 months and buying the UK 5-year bond. The carry component of the expected return is actually a loss of 0.15% [= (1.10% – 1.40%)/2], but this is more than offset by the 1% expected appreciation of GBP versus USD. A much higher carry component +0.90% = (1.95% – 0.15%)/2 could be obtained by borrowing for 6 months in EUR to buy the US 5-year note, but that advantage would be more than offset by the expected 1% loss from depreciation of the USD (long) against the Euro (short).

A is incorrect because a higher expected return of 0.85% can be obtained. This answer, +0.275% [= (1.95% – 1.40%)/2], is the highest carry available over the next 6 months within the US market itself (an intra-market carry trade).

C is incorrect. This answer (+0.90%) is the highest potential carry component of return but ignores the impact of currency exposure (being long the depreciating USD and short the appreciating Euro).

为啥不是借EURO 0.15% 6个月,投US 1.95% 5年呢?

1 个答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年07月12日

同学你好,

Inter market carry trade,的收益其实看2部分:1是利率差,2是汇率的变动.

正如答案中解释的,(1.95% – 0.15%)/2 =0.9% 看似比0.85%要高,但是美元相对欧元贬值了1%。所以整体上并没有0.85%高。

mario · 2021年09月11日

想问一下解题思路: 这个题说了usd 会depreciation, 我觉得在思考的时候就想到借USD了,就不会想借euro short term投uslong term。 我知道老师讲的时候都把选项讲了。但想确认一下这样思考对不对。谢谢。