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Trees · 2020年05月18日

问一道题:NO.PZ201601200500004503 第3小题 [ CFA II ]

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问题如下:

3. Are Wilhelm’s two statements about his shareholders benefiting from the diversification effect of the merger and about the increase in the stock price, respectively, correct?

选项:

The Merger Will Result in Lower Risk for Shareholders
Stock Price Will Increase in Line with the EPS Increase

A.

No
No

B.

No
Yes

C.

Yes
No

解释:

A is correct.

Both of the statements by Wilhelm are wrong.

The first statement is wrong because diversification by itself does not lower risk for shareholders. Investors can diversify very cheaply on their own by purchasing stocks of different companies (for example, a Modern Auto shareholder could purchase stocks of Sky Systems).

The second statement is also wrong. The P/E ratio will not necessarily remain the same following the merger and is more likely to decline. The pre-merger P/E for Modern Auto is 40/2.50 = 16. After the merger, the EPS would be $130 million/49.375 million shares, or 2.6329. The post-merger P/E will probably fall to 40/2.6329 = 15.19.

第二个判断,EPS的变动能理解,但P的变动如何判断?感觉答案给的很牵强
1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年05月19日

同学你好,高PE的公司收购低PE的公司,会带来EPS的增加。这个时候假设市盈率倍数不变,EPS增加,股价下跌。P/E的三个变量要假设一个不变,才能判断其他变量的变动方向。