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徐威廉 · 2020年04月03日

问一道题:NO.PZ201602270200002008 第8小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

8. All else being equal, if the shape of the yield curve changes from upward sloping to flattening, the value of the option embedded in Bond #2 will most likely:

选项:

A.

decrease.

B.

remain unchanged.

C.

increase.

解释:

C is correct.

Bond #2 is a callable bond, and the value of the embedded call option increases as the yield curve flattens. When the yield curve is upward sloping, the one-period forward rates on the interest rate tree are high and opportunities for the issuer to call the bond are fewer. When the yield curve flattens or inverts, many nodes on the tree have lower forward rates, which increases the opportunities to call and, thus, the value of the embedded call option.

我是这样考虑的:yield curve从原本的upward变为flatten说明短期利率上升长期利率下降,远期我们不看,只看近期,所以利率上升,Callable option value不变,请问错哪了?
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已采纳答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年04月03日

这就是看未来预期,为什么不看呢。

换个说法,假如你知道一个资产未来升值你买不买,未来贬值你卖不卖?

看预期,利率下降,价格升高,会导致call option被赎回,所以call option的价值升高了(callable bond的价值降低)。

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