问题如下:
Li and Wang are two junior analysts in a wealth management company. In a discussion about the shape of credit curve, they made the following statements:
Li’s statement: Upward-sloping credit curves imply a greater likelihood of default in later years, whereas downward-sloping credit curves imply a greater probability of default in the earlier years.
Wang agrees with Li, and adds:
Wang’s statement: Downward-sloping curves are less common and often a result of severe near-term stress in the financial markets.
According to the information above, which statement is incorrect?
选项:
A.Li’s statement is incorrect.
B.Wang’s statement is incorrect.
C.Neither of the statements is incorrect.
解释:
C is correct.
考点:Credit spread curve形状的理解
解析:
两个Statements都是正确的。一般来说Credit spread curve向上倾斜,代表着长期更大的违约可能;而向下倾斜,代表着短期更大的违约概率;因此Li的Statement正确。两种形状的Credit curve,更常见的是Upward-sloping的,向下倾斜的较少,代表着短期金融市场较大的风险。
请问两种形状的Credit curve,更常见的是Upward-sloping的,向下倾斜的较少,代表着短期金融市场较大的风险。如果是向上倾斜从X轴(时间)看不应该是短期的Credit spread更小,长期的Credit spread更大吗,答案怎么说代表着短期金融市场较大的风险