问题如下:
Wang is a fixed-income analyst in a wealth management firm. He expects the yield curve will remain stable over the next 12 months. Suppose the investment horizon is 1-year and there are two strategies at the moment. The first one is to apply buy and hold strategy using the government bonds and the second is to buy a 2-year government bond and invest for 1-year. The relevant information is shown below:
According to the information above, what is the implied forward rate F(1,1)?
选项:
A.3.36%
B.3.84%
C.3.11%
解释:
B is correct
考点:使用Riding the yield curve策略时收益率曲线的理解
解析:当前状态下,1年期债券的YTM是2.88%,2年期债券的YTM是3.36%,则F(1,1)等于:
(1+2.88%)[1+F(1,1)]=(1+3.36%)^2
F(1,1)=3.84%
求Implied forward rate,这个利率是隐含在当前0时刻的Spot rate里面的。所以注意在折现的时候(反求Spot rate的时候),带入的债券价格应该是PV;
提问里面折现的时候,用到的债券价格99.44,这是一个未来时刻的价格,不能0时刻的利率信息,所以不能用它。只有0时刻的债券价格,才会反应出0时刻的利率信息,0时刻的两个Spot rate卡出来的Forward rate,才是implied forward rate。
表格里面第二行bonds maturity at purchase告诉了我们债券的期限,分别是2年期的债券与1年期的债券。
我们知道债券的PV,所以可以反求出来Spot rate。
这一段有好多错别字,能不能重新讲一下??