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韩潮_ · 2020年03月09日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016082406000029

问题如下:

Rating agencies typically assign two ratings to debt-issuing countries. The first is the local currency debt rating and the second is the foreign currency debt rating. Historically, defaults have been more frequent on foreign-currency-denominated debt than on local-currency-denominated debt. What is the main reason behind this difference?

选项:

A.

This is a statistical anomaly, as the default rate theoretically should be the same in both cases.

B.

Foreign-currency-denominated debt is usually less collateralized than local-currency-denominated debt.

C.

Local-currency-denominated debt obligations could be met through monetary expansion.

D.

In distressed situations, governments tend to default on their foreign- currency-denominated debt first for political reasons.

解释:

ANSWER: C

The higher default rate on foreign-currency-denominated debt is consistent with the observation that credit ratings are lower. So, this is not a statistical anomaly (statement A). The main reason is that governments could force the central bank to print more money, creating inflation that reduces the real value of local currencies. This option is not possible with foreign-currency-denominated debt.

本题不是很明白C选项,请老师解答。


1 个答案
已采纳答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2020年03月09日

同学你好,

这道题是在比较以本币发行的债券和以外币发行的债券的信用风险,对于一个国家来说,以本币发行的债券,因为这个国家可以通过发行更多的本位币来偿还这笔债务;所以他的信用风险低于以外币发行的债券的信用风险。

比如在俄罗斯,俄罗斯国债是不会违约的,因为他可以不断发行卢布;但是在国际上,俄罗斯如果发行了美元债务,是可能会违约的(因为俄罗斯不可能发行美元来偿还他的美元债务)。