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薛真 · 2020年03月02日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019040801000066

问题如下:

Analyst Frank estimates the volatilities of two variables by using the GARCH(1,1) model. Now Frank plans to estimate covariance between the 2 variables. If Frank wants to generate a consistent correlation estimate between the 2 variables, which models will Frank most likely choose?

选项:

A.

GARCH(1,1) model.

B.

Geometrically weighted historical volatility model.

C.

EWMA model.

D.

Weighted historical volatility model.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:Estimating Correlations

解析:想保持一致性,协方差的预估方法就要选择与波动率预估相同的方法。因为这两个变量的波动率使通过GARCH(1,1)模型来预估的,所以应该选择一致的GARCH(1,1)模型。

老师,没明白。要保持一致性,为什么是GARCH(1,1)模型

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年03月02日

同学你好,因为预测波动率已经使用了GARCH(1,1)模型,那同时要预测协方差的话为了保持模型假设环境的一致,也要用GARCH(1,1)模型。

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