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bear41 · 2020年03月01日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019103001000056 [ CFA III ]

问题如下:

Edgarton evaluates the Fund’s positions from Exhibit 1 along with two of his pro forma portfolios, which are summarized in Exhibit 2:

Edgarton expects a steepening yield curve, with short-term yields rising by 1.00% and long-term yields rising by more than 1.00%.

Based on Exhibits 1 and 2, which of the following portfolios is most likely to have the best performance given Edgarton’s yield curve expectations?

选项:

A.

Current Portfolio

B.

Pro Forma Portfolio 1

C.

Pro Forma Portfolio 2

解释:

C is correct.

Given Edgarton’s expectation for a steepening yield curve, the best strategy is to shorten the portfolio duration by more heavily weighting shorter maturities. Pro Forma Portfolio 2 shows greater partial duration in the 1- and 3-year maturities relative to the current portfolio and the least combined exposure in the 10- and 30-year maturities of the three portfolios. The predicted change is calculated as follows:

Predicted change = Portfolio par amount × partial PVBP × (-curve shift in bps)/100

老师好:这道题我是这么做的,看看是否正确。我直接把1s和3s的pvbp加起来,然后看在整个portfolio中pvbp合计的占比。具体如下 current portfolio:78/744=10.48% P1:62/762=8.14% P2:82/730=11.23% 最后选择P2
1 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2020年03月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


"这道题我是这么做的,看看是否正确。我直接把1s和3s的pvbp加起来,然后看在整个portfolio中pvbp合计的占比。具体如下 current portfolio:78/744=10.48% P1:62/762=8.14% P2:82/730=11.23% 最后选择P2"


感觉可以的哈。

因为这道题的收益率曲线变化,是长期利率上升幅度更大、短期利率上升幅度相对较小,所以在三个Portfolio里,哪个长期债券Partial PVBP相对最小,哪个Portfolio的表现就最好。

因为三个Portfolio的总Duration差不多,长期Partial PVBP相对最小,就代表着短期Partial PVBP占比相对最大;所以算一下短期Partial PVBP占比最大的Portfolio,那表现一定最好。

这个方法很便捷;不过要是出现简答题,还是建议按照这道题答案的模式分析写一下。


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!


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