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薛定谔的蝎子 · 2020年02月29日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018111302000003

问题如下:

In order to value a property with constant growth rate in income and value using DCF method, an analyst collects below DCF assumptions: Going-in cap rate is 5.5%, terminal cap rate is 6%, discount rate is 7.25%, what’s the growth rate of the target property?

选项:

A.

0.50%

B.

1.25%.

C.

1.75%.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:DCF assumption

解析:被投资房地产的收入和价值都是一致的增长率,等于折现率discount rate (7.25%) – 现行的资本化率going-in cap rate (5.50) = 1.75%.

这题开始就说了使用的 DCF method,也就是二阶段模型,讲义第38页面业写明了 应该用 terminal cap rate,为啥答案时候用going in cap rate???

1 个答案

xiaowan_品职助教 · 2020年03月01日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,Cap rate = NOI/Sale price of comparable properties。这里的cap rate可以把它看作是一个市场的yield,而discount rate,是我们这个投资者要求的最低收益率,通过这两个变量求出的growth rate, 这里的growth rate代表的是对于该投资者来说,以现在市场的一个收益率yield来看,growth rate要达到多少才可以。这是对going-in cap rate的理解。

而terminal cap rate呢,它代表的是给下一个投资者的时候,那个时候对应的cap rate是多少,这个题目只是让我们站在现在的投资者的角度来计算现在市场情况下的growth rate应该是多少。

所以如果题目已经给出了Cap rate = Discount rate – Growth rate这个公式中任意的两个变量的话,都用这个公式来求第三个变量。

这道题目首句说明是constant growth rate,那么可以参考课件P34


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