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占个座儿 · 2020年02月20日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019100901000007

问题如下:

Azarov’s second meeting is with John Spintop, chief investment officer of the Wolf University Endowment Fund (the Fund). Spintop hired Westcome to assist in developing a new investment policy to present to the Fund’s board of directors. The Fund, which has assets under management of $200 million, has an overall objective of maintaining long-term purchasing power while providing needed financial support to Wolf University. During the meeting, Spintop states that the Fund has an annual spending policy of paying out 4% of the Fund’s three-year rolling asset value to Wolf University, and the Fund’s risk tolerance should consider the following three liability characteristics:

The Fund has a small investment staff with limited experience in managing alternative assets and currently uses the Norway model for its investment approach. Azarov suggests a change in investment approach by making an allocation to externally managed alternative assets—namely, hedge funds and private equity. Ten-year nominal expected return assumptions for various asset classes, as well as three proposed allocations that include some allocation to alternative assets, are presented in Exhibit 1.

Expected inflation for the next 10 years is 2.5% annually.

Which proposed allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for the Fund given its characteristics?

选项:

A.

Allocation 1

B.

Allocation 2

C.

Allocation 3

解释:

C is correct.

Allocation 3 is the most appropriate allocation for the Fund. The annual expected returns for the three allocations are as follows:

Allocation 1 exp. return = (0.45 × 4.1%) + (0.40 × 6.3%) + (0.10 × 7.5%) + (0.05 × 9.1%)= 5.57%.

Allocation 2 exp. return = (0.10 × 4.1%) + (0.15 × 6.3%) + (0.15 × 7.5%) + (0.30 × 5.0%) + (0.30 × 9.1%)= 6.71%.

Allocation 3 exp. return = (0.13 × 4.1%) + (0.32 × 6.3%) + (0.40 × 7.5%) + (0.05 × 5.0%) + (0.10 × 9.1%)= 6.71%.

The real return for Allocation 1 is 3.07% (= 5.57% – 2.50%), and the real return for Allocation 2 and Allocation 3 is 4.21% (= 6.71% – 2.50%).

Therefore, Allocation 1 is not appropriate because the expected real rate of return is less than the annual spending rate of 4%. With expected spending at 4%, the purchasing power of the Fund would be expected to decline over time with Allocation 1.

Allocations 2 and 3 both offer an expected real rate of return greater than the annual spending rate of 4%. Thus, the purchasing power of the Fund would be expected to grow over time with either allocation. However, Allocation 3 is more appropriate than Allocation 2 because of its lower allocation to alternative assets (hedge funds and private equity). The total 60% allocation to alternative assets in Allocation 2 is well above the 15% allocation in Allocation 3 and is likely too high considering the Fund’s small investment staff and its limited experience with managing alternative investments. Also, given the Fund’s relatively small size of assets under management ($200 million), access to top hedge funds and private equity managers is likely to be limited.

请问怎么理解这句话,感觉Azarov建议改变投资策略,委托外部进行投资alternative assets,不是应该选alternative assets比例大的吗?Azarov suggests a change in investment approach by making an allocation to externally managed alternative assets—namely, hedge funds and private equity. 

1 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2020年02月20日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


“感觉Azarov建议改变投资策略,委托外部进行投资alternative assets,不是应该选alternative assets比例大的吗?”


不是的。

并不是Alternative assets的比例越大越好。关于这种题目,有一个比较的方法就是,如果两个投资的收益一样,我们选择Alternative assets比较少的那个。

像这道题,Allocation 2和Allocation 3,两个的收益一样,所以从收益角度判断、两个都可以选,具体看一下配置,发现Allocation 2的Alternative assets占比过高,所以排除掉Allocation 2。


原因是,Alternative assets更难打理,所以在收益一样的情况下,能少投就少投;

Alternative更难打理主要体现在:

投资Alternative需要具备的专业知识、要求较高,所以如果是Internally managed,需要具备投资的水平,需要具有Highly-skilled employees,小基金很难达到;

即便是外包,也需要具备筛选外部基金经理的能力;同时,Top-ranked的Alternative基金经理和Low-skilled的Alternative基金经理,他们带来的收益差距太大了;

即便是外包,一般小资金的Fund,也很难找到Top-skilled的Alternative基金经理帮他们打理;


所以如果两个配置能产生一样的收益(Allocation 2和Allocation 3能产生一样的收益),我们选择Alternative占比少的那个,因为Alternative很难打理。



关于为啥,这道题的基金不能选Allocation 2,可以参考答案这句(答案这句就是上面答疑的回复)

is likely too high considering the Fund’s small investment staff and its limited experience with managing alternative investments.

Also, given the Fund’s relatively small size of assets under management ($200 million), access to top hedge funds and private equity managers is likely to be limited.


-------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!


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