问题如下:
If you use a general-to-specific model selection with a test size of a, what is the probability that one or more irrelevant regressors are included when the regressors are uncorrelated?
选项:
解释:
If the regressors are uncorrelated, then their joint distribution has no correlation, and so the probability that one-or-more irrelevant regressors is included is 1 minus the probability that none are. The probability of including a single irrelevant regressor is , where a is the test size. This is the definition of the size of a test. The probability that no irrelevant regressors are included is , where p is the number of variables considered.
"one or more irrelevant regressors are included"是指回归包括了不相关的变量Xi?如果H0:bi=0, 那就是犯了第一类错误 Pro(H0被拒绝 | H0正确)=a, 那为什么答案是等于1-a呢?