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Richard ZHANG · 2020年02月04日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000061

问题如下:

Assume that the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency while the EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed to fluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchange rate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibrium value of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflation differential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

All else equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead to depreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


老师能麻烦问一下这个公式在什么地方么,有印象但是找不到了。。

2 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2020年03月06日

强化班只列出了最重要的结论。

但是这个公式本身还是有可能考察的,所以还是建议去基础班讲义对照着学习一下。

源_品职助教 · 2020年02月04日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


是在咱们讲义的P67页


-------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!


养小鹿 · 2020年03月06日

老师您好,我直接听的强化班,讲义里好像没有这个点,是不重要所以删掉了吗?

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