问题如下：
Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:
Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:
Observation 2 Country Y is expected to significantly increase transfer payments and introduce a more progressive tax regime.
Based on Observation 2, what impact will the policy changes have on the trend rate of growth for Country Y?
选项：
A.Negative
Neutral
Positive
解释：
C is correct.
Country Y is expected to significantly increase transfer payments and introduce a more progressive tax regime. Both of these changes are progrowth government policies and should have a positive impact on the trend rate of growth for a business cycle that is in slowdown or contraction. Transfer payments help mitigate fluctuations in disposable income for the most vulnerable households, while progressive tax regimes imply that the effective tax rate on the private sector is pro-cyclical (i.e., rising as the economy expands and falling as the economy contracts).
解析：
题目中说道预计Y国将大幅增加转移支付，并引入更累进的税收制度。这两种变化都是促进经济增长的政府政策，应此会对经济放缓或收缩的商业周期的趋势增长率产生积极影响。转移支付有助于缓解最脆弱家庭可支配收入的波动，而累进税制意味着对私营部门的有效税率是顺周期的(例如，经济扩张时上升，经济收缩时下降)。所以C选项正确。
所以无论经济周期是哪个阶段引入这两个都是起积极作用吗？因为课程里好想是说经济好的时候，这两项措施可以起到自动调节的作用，防止经济过热。经济收缩的时候，累进税制可以理解，经济不好税少收，但是转移支付加大，可支配收入不是更少了吗?能起到促进经济作用吗？
