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needabroom · 2020年01月23日

问一道题:NO.PZ201512300100000906

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

6. Dobson is wondering what the consequences would be if the duration of the first stage was assumed to be 11 years instead of 8, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Considering this change, which of the following is true?

选项:

A.

In the second approach, the proportion of the total value of the stock represented by the second stage would not change.

B.

The total value estimated using the third approach would increase.

C.

Using this new assumption and the first approach will lead Dobson to conclude that the stock is overvalued.

解释:

B is correct.

If the extraordinary growth rate of 14 percent is expected to continue for a longer duration, the stocks value would increase. Choice A is false because given that the first stage is longer (11 years instead of 8), the terminal value is being calculated at a later point in time. So, its present value would be smaller. Moreover, the first stage has more years and contributes more to the total value. Overall, the proportion contributed by the second stage would be smaller. Choice C is false because the intrinsic value of the stock would be higher and the appropriate conclusion would be that the stock would be undervalued to a greater extent based on the first approach.

A和C是不是都不需要去具体计算,直接通过做定性的判断就可以了。

特别是C,高速增长的时间长了,分母D11变大了,但分子也变大了,只是有可能Instrinct Value变大。需要确切计算出来吗?谢谢!

1 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2020年02月04日

1、这种题目不需要计算,只做定性判断就好(这种比较价值大小最好的方法就是画图)。此外,题目也没有给你数据来计算。

2、对于C: 高速增长阶段越长,intrinsic value估计的就会越高,市场价格更有可能落在intrinsic value之下,所以更有可能是被低估的。

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