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pz-stepsutake · 2020年01月23日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016070201000050

问题如下:

Suppose a risk manager owns two non-investment grade assets and has determined their individual default probabilities for the next five years. Which of the following equations best defines how a Gaussian copula is constructed by the risk manager to estimate the joint probability of these two companies defaulting within the next year, assuming a Gaussian default correlation of 0.35?

选项:

A.

CGD[QB(t),QC(t)]=M2[N1(QB(t)),N1(QC(t));ρ]C_{GD}{\lbrack Q_B{(t)},Q_C{(t)}\rbrack}=M_2{\lbrack N^{-1}{(Q_B{(t)})},N^{-1}{(Q_C{(t)})};\rho\rbrack}

B.

C[G1(u1),...,Gn(un)]=Fn[F11(G1(u1)),...,Fn1(Gn(un));ρF]C{\lbrack G_1{(u_1)},...,G_n{(u_n)}\rbrack}=F_n{\lbrack F_1^{-1}{(G_1{(u_1)})},...,F_n^{-1}{(G_n{(u_n)})};\rho_F\rbrack}

C.

CGD[Qi(t),Qn(t)]=Mn[N11(Q1(t)),....,Nn1(Qn(t));ρM]C_{GD}{\lbrack Q_i{(t)},Q_n{(t)}\rbrack}=M_n{\lbrack N_1^{-1}{(Q_1{(t)})},....,N_n^{-1}{(Q_n{(t)})};\rho_M\rbrack}

D.

Mn()=Qi(τi)M_n{(\cdot)}=Q_i{(\tau_i)}

解释:

Because there are only two assets, the risk manager should use this equation to define the bivariate standard normal distribution, M2 , with a single default correlation coefficient of ρ.

看了前面的解释。。虽然不选B,但能给解释下B和C的区别么

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年01月24日

同学你好,因为题目里说是2个资产的,因此不用选C,C是n项资产的

pz-stepsutake · 2020年01月25日

我明白2个资产,因此不选C。只是想问,抛开这道题干不说,选项B和选项C,分别代表什么,以及区别。谢谢~~

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2020年02月04日

我觉得。。。C的公式本身就问题啊,前面有i,后面没了。。。B倒是n个资产之间mapping,找相关性算copula