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粉红豹 · 2020年01月10日

问一道题:NO.PZ201812020100000601

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

The portfolio strategy implemented by McLaughlin last year is mostly likely to be described as:

选项:

A.

a carry trade.

B.

a barbell structure.

C.

riding the yield curve.

解释:

C is correct.

Last year, McLaughlin expected the yield curve to be stable over the year. Riding the yield curve is a strategy based on the premise that, as a bond ages, it will decline in yield if the yield curve is upward sloping. This is known as "roll down"; that is, the bond rolls down the (static) curve. Riding the yield curve differs from buy and hold in that the manager is expecting to add to returns by selling the security at a lower yield at the horizon. This strategy may be particularly effective if the portfolio manager targets portions of the yield curve that are relatively steep and where price appreciation resulting from the bond’s migration to maturity can be significant. McLaughlin elected to position her portfolio solely in 20-year Treasury bonds, which reflect the steepest part of the yield curve, with the expectation of selling the bonds in one year.

老师好,最有一句话中的McLaughlin elected to position her portfolio solely in 20-year Treasury bonds, which reflect the steepest part of the yield curve, with the expectation of selling the bonds in one year. 如何 reflect the steepest part of the yield curve 的呢?如何理解?

2 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2020年01月13日

“我想再追问一下,在这道题目中,是怎么知道的这一段是最steepest的呢?”


就是他题干的这句描述。如果有数据的话,可以看数据差异最大的对应Steepest

发亮_品职助教 · 2020年01月10日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


"如何理解?"


首先在Upward-sloping、Stable yield curve的预期下,我们可以做Riding the yield curve策略。

在Upward-sloping策略下,收益率曲线向上倾斜、保证了长期利率大于短期利率;在Stable yield curve下,保证了收益率曲线现在的样子,和投资期结束时卖出债券的样子是一样的。

以上两点共同保证了卖出债券时定价的利率比买入时定价的利率更低,能获取Capital gain,Riding the yield curve策略有效。

这样的话,我们买入的债券是一个长期债券,卖出债券时,债券的期限变短,因为是Stable/Upward yield curve,我们可以知道买入债券时,为债券定价的利率更高、卖出债券时,为债券定价的利率更低;所以我们预期这样的买卖是有一个Capital gain。

比如,我们买入一个10年期债券,投资1年做Riding the yield curve策略,债券还有9年时卖出。因为买入债券时,是以更高的10年期债券的利率定价的、卖出债券时是以更低的9年期的利率定价的,所以这样的买卖会获得Capital gain,能获得多少Capital Gain是取决于10年期利率与9年期利率之间的落差的。

也就是10年期利率与9年期利率的落差越大,代表卖出债券时的定价利率更低,这样买卖获取的Capital gain最大。


如何保证我们做Riding the yield curve时,买入债券时的利率与卖出时的利率落差最大?

这就是我们在收益率曲线上最陡峭的一段做Riding the yield curve策略,也就是这道题说的the steepest part of the yield curve。

如下图,为了方便就用直线代表收益率曲线,可以明显看到收益率曲线上的陡峭程度不一样。

同样是做1年的Riding the yield curve,我们有两种选择:我们买入6年期的债券,还有5年时卖出;

第二种是买入4年期债券,还有3年时卖出;显然是第一种获得的Riding the yield curve收益更大,因为6年利率与5年利率的差价更大,债券买卖获得的Capital gain差价就更大。

所以,在Stable yield curve/Upward sloping的预期下,可以做Riding the yield curve策略获益,再细致点就是在收益率曲线最陡峭的一段做这个策略收益是最大的。


-------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!


粉红豹 · 2020年01月11日

嗯嗯谢谢发亮老师,我想再追问一下,在这道题目中,是怎么知道的这一段是最steepest的呢?

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