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ysr1990 · 2019年11月25日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000061

问题如下:

Assume that the DM country has what is considered a low-yield safe haven currency while the EM country has a high-yield currency whose value is more exposed to fluctuations in the global economic growth rate. All else equal, the exchange rate for the EM currency will most likely depreciate if the:


选项:

A.

long-run equilibrium value of the high-yield currency is revised upward 

B.

nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases over time 

C.

expected inflation differential between the EM and DM countries is revised upward 

解释:

All else equal, an increase in the expected inflation differential should lead to depreciation of the EM currency.

解析:

real exchange rate (A/B) = equilibrium real exchange rate + (real interest rate B - real interest rate A)- (risk premium B - risk premium A)

根据上述公式。所以AB选项错误。

在其它条件相同的情况下,预期通胀率的扩大会加两国的风险溢价之差,从而应会导致新兴市场货币贬值。所以C选项正确。


b答案是怎么得到的、、、、

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2019年11月26日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


YIELD 反映了两国的收益,在一定程度上,它就代表了解析公式右边第一个括号里的 INTEREST RATE(因为市场上观察到是NOMINAL的情况,所以这里用NOMINAL代替了REAL。)那么B选项说道 nominal yield spread between the EM and DM countries increases 。也就是即系中等式右边第一个括号数值变大,所以对应的DM/EM形式下,EM升值而非贬值。所以B选项不入选。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!


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