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needabroom · 2019年11月01日

问一道题:NO.PZ2017092702000113

问题如下:

For a sample size of 17, with a mean of 116.23 and a variance of 245.55, the width of a 90% confidence interval using the appropriate t-distribution is closest to:

选项:

A.

13.23.

B.

13.27.

C.

13.68.

解释:

B is correct.

The confidence interval is calculated using the following equation:X±tα/2sn\overline X\pm t_{\alpha/2}\frac s{\sqrt n}   Sample standard deviation (s) = 245.55\sqrt{245.55} = 15.670. For a sample size of 17, degrees of freedom equal 16, so t0.05 = 1.746. The confidence interval is calculated as

116.23 ± 1.74615.6717 = 116.23 ± 6.6357116.23\text{ }\pm\text{ }1.746\frac{15.67}{\sqrt{17}}\text{ }=\text{ }116.23\text{ }\pm\text{ }6.6357 Therefore, the interval spans 109.5943 to 122.8656, meaning its width is equal to approximately 13.271. (This interval can be alternatively calculated as 6.6357 × 2).

老师,查表 Degree of Freedom = 16, T0.05(two-tailed)= 2.12 不是 1.746呀( T0.1)

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已采纳答案

星星_品职助教 · 2019年11月01日

同学你好,

这道题需要用5%的单尾概率,而不是双尾。这么理解,90%的置信区间相当于剩余的两边面积一共是10%,那么单边就是5%了。所以是单尾的表,就要查df=16,单尾5%,原版书附录里t分布的表就是单尾的表,查出来恰好就是1.746。;双尾的表就要查df=16,双尾(一共)10%。

所以这就是自己查表的意义,因为考试时不一定会给单尾,还是双尾的表,还有可能是给出一堆描述:例如one tail t(16,5%)=1.746,t(17,5%)=1.740,或者two tail t(16,10%)=1.746这种关键值的形式,要求考生去选择。所以自己查表可以暴露出来平常之前没想到的问题,考前就可以给搞定~加油

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