问题如下图：
选项：
A. 
B. 
C. 
解释：
这里每年的discount factor是怎么求的，我只看到一个假设的3%，其他的题目里哪里有？谢谢
吴昊_品职助教 · 2019年03月26日
Discount Factor就是把对应年限的折现率算出来了。原先我们折现的时候就是除以一个比1更大的数，现在折现因子的话就是乘以它的倒数，把除以一个比1大的数转换成了乘以一个比1小的数，来回是一个意思。
比如利率是3%第一年：折现的话是CF1/(1+3%)；用折现因子的话，第一年的折现因子DF就是： 1/(1+3%)=0.9709，所以第一年现金流折现就是：CF1×0.9709。第二年：折现的话就是CF2/(1+3%)^2；用折现因子的话，第二年的折现因子DF就是：1/(1+3%)^2=0.9426，所以第二年现金流折现就是CF2×0.9426。
NO.PZ201812310200000101 问题如下 The market priof bonis€875. The bonis: fairly value overvalue unrvalue B is correct. The following table shows ththe cret valuation austment (CVfor the bonis €36.49, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows. Step 1: Exposure te T is 1000 (1+r) 4−T , where r is 3%. This, exposure is computescounting the favalue of the bonusing the risk-free rate anthe number of years until maturity. Step 2: Recovery = Exposure × Recovery rate Step 3: Loss given fault (LG = Exposure – Recovery Step 4: Probability of fault (PO on te 1 is 1.50%, the assumehazarrate. The probability of surviv(POS) on te 1 is 98.50%. For subsequent tes, POis calculatethe hazarrate multipliethe previous te’s POS. For example, to termine the te 2 PO(1.4775%), the hazarrate of (1.50%) is multipliethe te 1 POS (98.50%). Step 5: POS in tes 2–4 = POS in the previous ye– POD (This, POS in YeT= POS in ye[ T– 1] – POin YeT.) POS calso be terminesubtracting the hazarrate from 100% anraising it to the power of the number of years: (100% – 1.5000%)1 = 98.5000% (100% – 1.5000%)2 = 97.0225% (100% – 1.5000%)3 = 95.5672% (100% – 1.5000%)4 = 94.1337% Step 6: Expecteloss = LG× POD Step 7: scount factor () for te T is 1 (1+r) T , where r is 3%. Step 8: PV of expecteloss = Expecteloss × Value of the bonif the bonwere fault free woul1,000 × for te 4 = €888.49. Fair value of the bonconsiring CVA = €888.49 – CVA = €888.49 – €36.49 = €852.00. Because the market priof the bon(€875) is greater ththe fair value of €852, B is correct. A is incorrect because the market priof the bonffers from its fair value. C is incorrebecause although the bons value if the bonwere fault free is greater ththe market price, the bond ha risk of fault, anCVA lowers its fair value to below the market price. RT
NO.PZ201812310200000101 问题如下 The market priof bonis€875. The bonis: fairly value overvalue unrvalue B is correct. The following table shows ththe cret valuation austment (CVfor the bonis €36.49, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows. Step 1: Exposure te T is 1000 (1+r) 4−T , where r is 3%. This, exposure is computescounting the favalue of the bonusing the risk-free rate anthe number of years until maturity. Step 2: Recovery = Exposure × Recovery rate Step 3: Loss given fault (LG = Exposure – Recovery Step 4: Probability of fault (PO on te 1 is 1.50%, the assumehazarrate. The probability of surviv(POS) on te 1 is 98.50%. For subsequent tes, POis calculatethe hazarrate multipliethe previous te’s POS. For example, to termine the te 2 PO(1.4775%), the hazarrate of (1.50%) is multipliethe te 1 POS (98.50%). Step 5: POS in tes 2–4 = POS in the previous ye– POD (This, POS in YeT= POS in ye[ T– 1] – POin YeT.) POS calso be terminesubtracting the hazarrate from 100% anraising it to the power of the number of years: (100% – 1.5000%)1 = 98.5000% (100% – 1.5000%)2 = 97.0225% (100% – 1.5000%)3 = 95.5672% (100% – 1.5000%)4 = 94.1337% Step 6: Expecteloss = LG× POD Step 7: scount factor () for te T is 1 (1+r) T , where r is 3%. Step 8: PV of expecteloss = Expecteloss × Value of the bonif the bonwere fault free woul1,000 × for te 4 = €888.49. Fair value of the bonconsiring CVA = €888.49 – CVA = €888.49 – €36.49 = €852.00. Because the market priof the bon(€875) is greater ththe fair value of €852, B is correct. A is incorrect because the market priof the bonffers from its fair value. C is incorrebecause although the bons value if the bonwere fault free is greater ththe market price, the bond ha risk of fault, anCVA lowers its fair value to below the market price. 如题
NO.PZ201812310200000101问题如下 The market priof bonis€875. The bonis: fairly value overvalue unrvalue B is correct. The following table shows ththe cret valuation austment (CVfor the bonis €36.49, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows. Step 1: Exposure te T is 1000 (1+r) 4−T , where r is 3%. This, exposure is computescounting the favalue of the bonusing the risk-free rate anthe number of years until maturity. Step 2: Recovery = Exposure × Recovery rate Step 3: Loss given fault (LG = Exposure – Recovery Step 4: Probability of fault (PO on te 1 is 1.50%, the assumehazarrate. The probability of surviv(POS) on te 1 is 98.50%. For subsequent tes, POis calculatethe hazarrate multipliethe previous te’s POS. For example, to termine the te 2 PO(1.4775%), the hazarrate of (1.50%) is multipliethe te 1 POS (98.50%). Step 5: POS in tes 2–4 = POS in the previous ye– POD (This, POS in YeT= POS in ye[ T– 1] – POin YeT.) POS calso be terminesubtracting the hazarrate from 100% anraising it to the power of the number of years: (100% – 1.5000%)1 = 98.5000% (100% – 1.5000%)2 = 97.0225% (100% – 1.5000%)3 = 95.5672% (100% – 1.5000%)4 = 94.1337% Step 6: Expecteloss = LG× POD Step 7: scount factor () for te T is 1 (1+r) T , where r is 3%. Step 8: PV of expecteloss = Expecteloss × Value of the bonif the bonwere fault free woul1,000 × for te 4 = €888.49. Fair value of the bonconsiring CVA = €888.49 – CVA = €888.49 – €36.49 = €852.00. Because the market priof the bon(€875) is greater ththe fair value of €852, B is correct. A is incorrect because the market priof the bonffers from its fair value. C is incorrebecause although the bons value if the bonwere fault free is greater ththe market price, the bond ha risk of fault, anCVA lowers its fair value to below the market price. 为什么不用下面二叉树利率折线呢
NO.PZ201812310200000101 问题如下 The market priof bonis€875. The bonis: fairly value overvalue unrvalue B is correct. The following table shows ththe cret valuation austment (CVfor the bonis €36.49, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows. Step 1: Exposure te T is 1000 (1+r) 4−T , where r is 3%. This, exposure is computescounting the favalue of the bonusing the risk-free rate anthe number of years until maturity. Step 2: Recovery = Exposure × Recovery rate Step 3: Loss given fault (LG = Exposure – Recovery Step 4: Probability of fault (PO on te 1 is 1.50%, the assumehazarrate. The probability of surviv(POS) on te 1 is 98.50%. For subsequent tes, POis calculatethe hazarrate multipliethe previous te’s POS. For example, to termine the te 2 PO(1.4775%), the hazarrate of (1.50%) is multipliethe te 1 POS (98.50%). Step 5: POS in tes 2–4 = POS in the previous ye– POD (This, POS in YeT= POS in ye[ T– 1] – POin YeT.) POS calso be terminesubtracting the hazarrate from 100% anraising it to the power of the number of years: (100% – 1.5000%)1 = 98.5000% (100% – 1.5000%)2 = 97.0225% (100% – 1.5000%)3 = 95.5672% (100% – 1.5000%)4 = 94.1337% Step 6: Expecteloss = LG× POD Step 7: scount factor () for te T is 1 (1+r) T , where r is 3%. Step 8: PV of expecteloss = Expecteloss × Value of the bonif the bonwere fault free woul1,000 × for te 4 = €888.49. Fair value of the bonconsiring CVA = €888.49 – CVA = €888.49 – €36.49 = €852.00. Because the market priof the bon(€875) is greater ththe fair value of €852, B is correct. A is incorrect because the market priof the bonffers from its fair value. C is incorrebecause although the bons value if the bonwere fault free is greater ththe market price, the bond ha risk of fault, anCVA lowers its fair value to below the market price. 是因为利率没有波动才用的无风险收益吗？如果利率有波动就要用表格里的？
NO.PZ201812310200000101 问题如下 The market priof bonis€875. The bonis: fairly value overvalue unrvalue B is correct. The following table shows ththe cret valuation austment (CVfor the bonis €36.49, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows. Step 1: Exposure te T is 1000 (1+r) 4−T , where r is 3%. This, exposure is computescounting the favalue of the bonusing the risk-free rate anthe number of years until maturity. Step 2: Recovery = Exposure × Recovery rate Step 3: Loss given fault (LG = Exposure – Recovery Step 4: Probability of fault (PO on te 1 is 1.50%, the assumehazarrate. The probability of surviv(POS) on te 1 is 98.50%. For subsequent tes, POis calculatethe hazarrate multipliethe previous te’s POS. For example, to termine the te 2 PO(1.4775%), the hazarrate of (1.50%) is multipliethe te 1 POS (98.50%). Step 5: POS in tes 2–4 = POS in the previous ye– POD (This, POS in YeT= POS in ye[ T– 1] – POin YeT.) POS calso be terminesubtracting the hazarrate from 100% anraising it to the power of the number of years: (100% – 1.5000%)1 = 98.5000% (100% – 1.5000%)2 = 97.0225% (100% – 1.5000%)3 = 95.5672% (100% – 1.5000%)4 = 94.1337% Step 6: Expecteloss = LG× POD Step 7: scount factor () for te T is 1 (1+r) T , where r is 3%. Step 8: PV of expecteloss = Expecteloss × Value of the bonif the bonwere fault free woul1,000 × for te 4 = €888.49. Fair value of the bonconsiring CVA = €888.49 – CVA = €888.49 – €36.49 = €852.00. Because the market priof the bon(€875) is greater ththe fair value of €852, B is correct. A is incorrect because the market priof the bonffers from its fair value. C is incorrebecause although the bons value if the bonwere fault free is greater ththe market price, the bond ha risk of fault, anCVA lowers its fair value to below the market price. bon的hazarrate是1.5%。而bon本身是个零息债券，其他时刻没有现金流。因此我认为只有在4年到期的时候才会违约，那么我们按违约概率1.5%，即0.985的不违约概率代入有什么问题呢？题目为什么用 0.985^4算不违约概率呢？