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345434208 · 2017年05月12日

2017 MOCK Q27

Next, Standish begins to identify specific assets to include in the developed markets portfolio. He considers equally weighted positions in Chilean Real Estate, Swiss bonds, and US equities, among others. He reviews the forecasts of inflation for these three countries and notes that inflation is predicted to be above expected levels in Chile, but below expectations in both Switzerland and the United States. With this new information, he ponders how he should adjust the portfolio weights to reflect
the economic forecast.

27 When considering the proposed weights for the developed markets portfolio, the most appropriate adjustment for Standish to make is to reduce the asset

A the United States. B Switzerland. C Chile.
KEY = B
B is correct: With above- average inflation, Chilean real estate is expected to outper-form. Below- average inflation would likely cause US equities to outperform and have a neutral effect on Swiss bonds. Therefore, Standish should reduce the weight in Swiss bonds relative to the other two assets.

何老师在讲Mock时选了A,这里何老师是不是选错了,equity在below expaction inflation时应该outperform吗,bond的表现不是neutral.

345434208 · 2017年05月13日

我没办法把图片添加上来,在讲义里有一张图片,是在inflation不同情况下各资产的表现。在inflation below or at expectation时股票表现好,而债券适中,所以这三个中是债券表现最不好,讲题的时候何老师讲的是股票表现最不好

2 个答案
老师答案

我讲的就是选B啊,因为他问的是应该降低weight的是哪一个?也就是表现不好的是哪一个。房地产的inflation高于预期的时候表现好,债券在inflation低于预期的时候表现好,而股票在温和通胀,inflation略高于预期时表现最好,所以相对来讲,因为inflation低于预期,那么经济增长就没有预期那么好,所以股票相对表现不好

何旋hexuan · 2017年05月12日


不好意思,我之前说错了,应该是选B。inflation低于预期是对股票好的。但是inflation低于预期相当于是经济刚刚复苏的时候,这个时候投资债券不如投资股票,所以相当于这个时候债券是neutral的,所以应该降低债券的比例

何旋hexuan · 2017年05月26日

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