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stephyten · 2019年02月17日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016082405000067 [ FRM II ]

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

D.

解释:

1、求real-world PD的时候,为何要减去credit premium? liquidity premium是其他Rp这个是很清楚的,但这章都是信用风险啊,为何credit premium也是其他Rp?

2、为何不能采用老师课上的求π与π'的公式来算,前面有考友问过,但回答挺模糊的,看不明白。感谢!

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2019年02月18日

同学你好,第一个问题,借用notes上的一张图,那个default risk premium就是关于CR的,不能因为这章是credit risk就不算它啊。

第二个问题,这题很多条件都没给,没办法用上课求π的方法,而且这题LGD等于100%,课上那个推导公式也用不了了(因为求π要除以1-LGD)

所以要想求risk-neutral 的PD,最直接的就是通过市场价格倒着算出来,而real world的结果也可以通过上面的图减出来。

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NO.PZ2016082405000067 B The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par. risk-neutrprobability = real-worlprobability + cret risk premium + liquity premium 8% = real-worlprobability + 2% + 1% real-worlprobability = 8% - 3% = 5% 可以具体下The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par.么? 如果按照讲义上的风险中性p计算方法如下,计算出来是5.7%,请问这个方式有什么问题么? p=100(1-p/1+risk_free_rate 92=100*(1-p/1+0.025

2021-05-11 23:13 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2016082405000067 8%  5% 6%  8% 5%  6% B The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par. risk-neutrprobability = real-worlprobability + cret risk premium + liquity premium 8% = real-worlprobability + 2% + 1% real-worlprobability = 8% - 3% = 5% 真实pπ这个规律可以直接使用吗

2021-03-27 12:02 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2016082405000067 B The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par. risk-neutrprobability = real-worlprobability + cret risk premium + liquity premium 8% = real-worlprobability + 2% + 1% real-worlprobability = 8% - 3% = 5% 这里的real-worlP我理解用中性减掉LRP,但是为什么要减去CRP?CRP不是应该包括在真实世界P面吗?

2021-03-04 23:29 1 · 回答

B The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par. risk-neutrprobability = real-worlprobability + cret risk premium + liquity premium 8% = real-worlprobability + 2% + 1% real-worlprobability = 8% - 3% = 5% 这个inflation rate只是一个干扰项吧?

2020-11-05 20:22 1 · 回答

B The risk-neutrfault probability is approximately 8% because the market priis 92% of par. risk-neutrprobability = real-worlprobability + cret risk premium + liquity premium 8% = real-worlprobability + 2% + 1% real-worlprobability = 8% - 3% = 5% 我的只能理解,中性定价里面,所有的sprea对CR进行补偿,这个时候CR大了,所以P,如果是objective的话, sprea止对CR进行补偿,还有别的东西,所以,P对就低了。就是扫一眼知道选B , 还是不太明白你放的那个图,和这句话是怎么补偿的。讲道理RISK NATURP 1+3+2=6%,这个东西应该是sprea概念 如果套用这题,sprea 8%-2.5%=5.5%,如果是risk natur的话5.5%全部补偿CR了,再减去1%的流动性4.5%就是objective 但是这么硬算又找不到答案。。。

2020-10-14 19:45 1 · 回答