问题如下图:
选项:
A.
B.
C.
解释:
解析里面那个括号as a result of the normal upward sloping yield curve感觉和括号前面的不对应吧?另外,短期利率在CAMP模型中怎么影响到长期利率的,不太明白
maggie_品职助教 · 2019年01月18日
1、没有不对应,ERP=RM-RF,括号前说的是ERP较高,因为短期利率较低(rf较低,那么根据ERP的公式可知,ERP就会较大),括号里说的是正常利率曲线通常是短期低,长期高,因此我们用短期利率rf计算ERP,ERP会比较大
2、这道题是让你基于当前的rf 和历史的ERP来估计re:
1、当前利率曲线是inverted,说明短期利率大于长期利率,因此公式第一项rf较大
2、rm-rf用历史ERP,历史上利率曲线是normal形态-upward sloping(短期小于长期),因此rm-rf较大
综上,用当前rf和历史ERP,会高估re
NO.PZ201512300100000303 老师 这个结论是针对本题还是是一个定论
NO.PZ201512300100000303 老师 长期政府债券的利率不是应该比长期的高吗? 这道题考察的知识点是哪个?
NO.PZ201512300100000303 bilong-term requirereturn on equity estimates wnwar. have no effeon long-term requirereturn on equity estimates. A is correct. The requirereturn reflects the magnitu of the historicequity risk premium, whiis generally higher when baseon a short-term interest rate (a result of the normupwarsloping yielcurve), anthe current value of the rate being useto represent the risk-free rate. The short-term rate is currently higher ththe long-term rate, whiwill also increase the requirereturn estimate. The short-term interest rate, however, overstates the long-term expecteinflation rate. Using the short-term interest rate, estimates of the long-term requirereturn on equity will biaseupwar.老师你好,这题的解答中说历史的ERP曲线是向上倾斜的,请问这个是为什么?需要考虑题目中战争状态时候的ERP吗?战争状态的话ERP曲线应该是向下倾斜的吧。
NO.PZ201512300100000303 我想知道,向下调整和有一个向下的bias,在表述上是什么样的?因为我发现我有点模糊了 upwarbiasebiaseupward
NO.PZ201512300100000303 bilong-term requirereturn on equity estimates wnwar. have no effeon long-term requirereturn on equity estimates. A is correct. The requirereturn reflects the magnitu of the historicequity risk premium, whiis generally higher when baseon a short-term interest rate (a result of the normupwarsloping yielcurve), anthe current value of the rate being useto represent the risk-free rate. The short-term rate is currently higher ththe long-term rate, whiwill also increase the requirereturn estimate. The short-term interest rate, however, overstates the long-term expecteinflation rate. Using the short-term interest rate, estimates of the long-term requirereturn on equity will biaseupwar. 短期利率长期利率,如何推出rm-rf更大?