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Luna · 2018年12月24日

问一道题:NO.PZ2017092702000132

老师,这道题统计上拒绝原假设,所以是signisignificant可以理解。但 economically not significant怎么理解?题意中假设的是考虑trading cost前收益率为0,而实际抽样结果是考虑了费用后收益率为0,说明
考虑trading cost前收益率大于0啊




问题如下图:

    

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:



2 个答案
已采纳答案

菲菲_品职助教 · 2018年12月26日

同学你好,其实是这个意思,在没有扣除交易成本前进行了这个检验,得出来的结论是拒绝原假设,超额收益是不等于0的,所以通过这个检验的结果我们就可以做出应该交易的判断,但事实上,在考虑了交易成本后,超额收益几乎为0,说明在现实中,我们是不会去进行这个交易的,因为几乎没有超额收益,那么也就是说现实中的做法和假设检验得到的结果的做法是相反的,所以这个假设检验的结果在经济学意义上是没有结果的。所以重点并不在于费用前和费用后,而是在于检验得到的结果和现实中经济学意义上的做法是否相一致。

菲菲_品职助教 · 2018年12月26日

同学你好,economically指在经济学意义上,statistically指在统计学意义上。这个小知识点在原版书中reading12的第二节假设检验中有相应描述,同学可以自行去翻阅研读一下。

这道题的意思其实是,通过假设检验我们得到了拒绝原假设的结论,但是在现实中,原假设是正确的。所以说这个假设检验的结果在统计学上是有意义的,但是在经济学上是没有意义的。

 

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