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小布的圈圈 · 2018年11月19日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091702000031

问题如下图:

    

请问,“while Gerber has difficulty interpreting the scientific results"这里是不是也能说明Gerber 有Conservatism Bias 啊?因为他看不懂这个信息却不想着去处理,也是对新信息反应不足的表现吗?

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已采纳答案

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年11月19日

应该是confirmation bias.

他不懂,但是看了文章的结论,觉得自己更正确了。而且 他忽略了结论的前半句,have some major obstacles to overcome。应该是个正反面都有的结论。

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NO.PZ2018091702000031 GerharLuigs founAInnovations (ABC), a biotecompany cateto small cell lung cancer research. For the past two years, Ahbeen cateto ProjeM, effort recteveloping a ug for the treatment of relapses in small cell lung cancer. ProjeM hlayeits Phase Two trials twice. Publisheresults from Phase One trials have raisesome concerns regarng the ug. In its last two quarterly investors’ conferencalls, ABC’s CEO wvery cautious in scussing expectations for ProjeM. ABC’s stopricreaseover 20 percent ring the past six months. Gerber believes ththe researsetbacks are temporary because of ABC’s past success with projects. He expects thAwill begin Phase Two within a year, analso believes thonProjeM goes into Phase Two, ABC’s stoprishoulreaa new 52- week high of CHF 80. Soon after cing to holthe stock, Gerber rea article ABC’s chief scientist in whicertain scientific results from ProjeM are taile a conclusion, the article states: \"Although we still have some major obstacles to overcome, the ProjeM tehseen positive signs tha treatment for small cell lung cancer is achievable.\" While Gerber hfficulty interpreting the scientific results, he feels reassureafter reang the conclung statement. Toy, Aannounces the news thit will no longer pursue ProjeM, citing early signs of failure of the project. a result of the announcement, the stopriops 50 percent. Gerber is stunne He reviews the company’s history annotes thAhbeen up front about its struggles to solve the ProjeM issues. Gerber now realizes thhe hbeen ignoring all the signs anfeels a tremenus regret for not having solthe fountion’s investment in Aearlier. scuss how Gerber splayeconservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reang. Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseveranbiin whipeople maintain their prior views or forecasts inaquately incorporating new information. This cognitive error haspects of both statisticaninformation-processing errors. Gerber splayeconservatism bimaintaining his prior views on Awithout aquately incorporating new information. There are severexamples of new information thweither ignoreor inaquately consire • the lays in initiation of Phase Two trials; • the scouraging results from Phase One; • the cautionary language from the CEO; an• the chief scientist’s statement incating ththere were \"major obstacles to overcome.\" Gerber sregarall the negative news ancautionary language thwreleaseABGerber faileto incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABThe impawa loss to the fountion, whicoulhave been recehGerber incorporatethe information into his analysis anaustethe fountion’s holngs of AB老师好,这种题型,是否就是主观题(或essay题)?谢谢。

2022-01-24 10:17 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091702000031 GerharLuigs founAInnovations (ABC), a biotecompany cateto small cell lung cancer research. For the past two years, Ahbeen cateto ProjeM, effort recteveloping a ug for the treatment of relapses in small cell lung cancer. ProjeM hlayeits Phase Two trials twice. Publisheresults from Phase One trials have raisesome concerns regarng the ug. In its last two quarterly investors’ conferencalls, ABC’s CEO wvery cautious in scussing expectations for ProjeM. ABC’s stopricreaseover 20 percent ring the past six months. Gerber believes ththe researsetbacks are temporary because of ABC’s past success with projects. He expects thAwill begin Phase Two within a year, analso believes thonProjeM goes into Phase Two, ABC’s stoprishoulreaa new 52- week high of CHF 80. Soon after cing to holthe stock, Gerber rea article ABC’s chief scientist in whicertain scientific results from ProjeM are taile a conclusion, the article states: \"Although we still have some major obstacles to overcome, the ProjeM tehseen positive signs tha treatment for small cell lung cancer is achievable.\" While Gerber hfficulty interpreting the scientific results, he feels reassureafter reang the conclung statement. Toy, Aannounces the news thit will no longer pursue ProjeM, citing early signs of failure of the project. a result of the announcement, the stopriops 50 percent. Gerber is stunne He reviews the company’s history annotes thAhbeen up front about its struggles to solve the ProjeM issues. Gerber now realizes thhe hbeen ignoring all the signs anfeels a tremenus regret for not having solthe fountion’s investment in Aearlier. scuss how Gerber splayeconservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reang. Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseveranbiin whipeople maintain their prior views or forecasts inaquately incorporating new information. This cognitive error haspects of both statisticaninformation-processing errors. Gerber splayeconservatism bimaintaining his prior views on Awithout aquately incorporating new information. There are severexamples of new information thweither ignoreor inaquately consire • the lays in initiation of Phase Two trials; • the scouraging results from Phase One; • the cautionary language from the CEO; an• the chief scientist’s statement incating ththere were \"major obstacles to overcome.\" Gerber sregarall the negative news ancautionary language thwreleaseABGerber faileto incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABThe impawa loss to the fountion, whicoulhave been recehGerber incorporatethe information into his analysis anaustethe fountion’s holngs of AB 请问题目描述how Gerber splayeconservatism bias. 是否可以从G坚持了老观点、ignore新内容、只看支持自己的view这三方面来找example? 回答中的example全都是再说暗示G观点错误的例子,和HOW splaye像也没关系

2021-12-05 10:21 1 · 回答

GerharLuigs founAInnovations (ABC), a biotecompany cateto small cell lung cancer research. For the past two years, Ahbeen cateto ProjeM, effort recteveloping a ug for the treatment of relapses in small cell lung cancer. ProjeM hlayeits Phase Two trials twice. Publisheresults from Phase One trials have raisesome concerns regarng the ug. In its last two quarterly investors’ conferencalls, ABC’s CEO wvery cautious in scussing expectations for ProjeM. ABC’s stopricreaseover 20 percent ring the past six months. Gerber believes ththe researsetbacks are temporary because of ABC’s past success with projects. He expects thAwill begin Phase Two within a year, analso believes thonProjeM goes into Phase Two, ABC’s stoprishoulreaa new 52- week high of CHF 80. Soon after cing to holthe stock, Gerber rea article ABC’s chief scientist in whicertain scientific results from ProjeM are taile a conclusion, the article states: \"Although we still have some major obstacles to overcome, the ProjeM tehseen positive signs tha treatment for small cell lung cancer is achievable.\" While Gerber hfficulty interpreting the scientific results, he feels reassureafter reang the conclung statement. Toy, Aannounces the news thit will no longer pursue ProjeM, citing early signs of failure of the project. a result of the announcement, the stopriops 50 percent. Gerber is stunne He reviews the company’s history annotes thAhbeen up front about its struggles to solve the ProjeM issues. Gerber now realizes thhe hbeen ignoring all the signs anfeels a tremenus regret for not having solthe fountion’s investment in Aearlier. scuss how Gerber splayeconservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reang. Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseveranbiin whipeople maintain their prior views or forecasts inaquately incorporating new information. This cognitive error haspects of both statisticaninformation-processing errors. Gerber splayeconservatism bimaintaining his prior views on Awithout aquately incorporating new information. There are severexamples of new information thweither ignoreor inaquately consire • the lays in initiation of Phase Two trials; • the scouraging results from Phase One; • the cautionary language from the CEO; an• the chief scientist’s statement incating ththere were \"major obstacles to overcome.\" Gerber sregarall the negative news ancautionary language thwreleaseABGerber faileto incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABThe impawa loss to the fountion, whicoulhave been recehGerber incorporatethe information into his analysis anaustethe fountion’s holngs of AB老师这个G的之前的观点是什么啊?这个题问的是不是要找出三个佐证G坚持之前观点是错误的,也就是说G不应该坚持之前的观点?

2020-12-17 15:43 1 · 回答

GerharLuigs founAInnovations (ABC), a biotecompany cateto small cell lung cancer research. For the past two years, Ahbeen cateto ProjeM, effort recteveloping a ug for the treatment of relapses in small cell lung cancer. ProjeM hlayeits Phase Two trials twice. Publisheresults from Phase One trials have raisesome concerns regarng the ug. In its last two quarterly investors’ conferencalls, ABC’s CEO wvery cautious in scussing expectations for ProjeM. ABC’s stopricreaseover 20 percent ring the past six months. Gerber believes ththe researsetbacks are temporary because of ABC’s past success with projects. He expects thAwill begin Phase Two within a year, analso believes thonProjeM goes into Phase Two, ABC’s stoprishoulreaa new 52- week high of CHF 80. Soon after cing to holthe stock, Gerber rea article ABC’s chief scientist in whicertain scientific results from ProjeM are taile a conclusion, the article states: \"Although we still have some major obstacles to overcome, the ProjeM tehseen positive signs tha treatment for small cell lung cancer is achievable.\" While Gerber hfficulty interpreting the scientific results, he feels reassureafter reang the conclung statement. Toy, Aannounces the news thit will no longer pursue ProjeM, citing early signs of failure of the project. a result of the announcement, the stopriops 50 percent. Gerber is stunne He reviews the company’s history annotes thAhbeen up front about its struggles to solve the ProjeM issues. Gerber now realizes thhe hbeen ignoring all the signs anfeels a tremenus regret for not having solthe fountion’s investment in Aearlier. scuss how Gerber splayeconservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reang. Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseveranbiin whipeople maintain their prior views or forecasts inaquately incorporating new information. This cognitive error haspects of both statisticaninformation-processing errors. Gerber splayeconservatism bimaintaining his prior views on Awithout aquately incorporating new information. There are severexamples of new information thweither ignoreor inaquately consire • the lays in initiation of Phase Two trials; • the scouraging results from Phase One; • the cautionary language from the CEO; an• the chief scientist’s statement incating ththere were \"major obstacles to overcome.\" Gerber sregarall the negative news ancautionary language thwreleaseABGerber faileto incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABThe impawa loss to the fountion, whicoulhave been recehGerber incorporatethe information into his analysis anaustethe fountion’s holngs of AB请问这种简答题怎么练习,感觉做的时候不知如何下手?

2019-12-24 22:11 1 · 回答

    怎么理解答案里说的“this cognitive error haspects of both statisticinformation processing errors”?Conservatism 不是belief perseveran的一种吗,为啥和statistic以及 information processing 又扯上关系了

2019-10-25 05:20 3 · 回答