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C为什么不对

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NO.PZ202405210200000201

问题如下：

If Country A’s government spending program is reduced, the type of crisis that best describes this scenario is:

选项：

A.Type 1. B. Type 2. C.Type 3.

解释：

Any significant, unexpected change in these policies that is likely to persist will change the expected trend rate of growth (Type 2). Elements of pro-growth government policies include sound fiscal policy, minimal intrusion on the private sector, encouragement of competition within the private sector, support for infrastructure and human capital development, and sound tax policies.

A financial crisis may affect both the level of output and the trend growth rate. However, the scenario presented in the vignette is not a financial crisis but a policy change.

这里题目的考点是什么？

嗨，爱思考的PZer你好：

Hello，亲爱的同学~

考点是potential Growth rate，也称为trend Growth rate。

这里有一个结论：significant policy change，会影响趋势增长率。

结合本题：

A国有一个政府计划，利用赠款、补贴和税收优惠来鼓励竞争和培育新产品开发。然而，A国的一些政客不愿意支持该计划，并希望减少或取消拨款、补贴和激励措施。投资委员会想知道取消该计划可能会对a国经济产生什么影响。

给出三个选项：

Type 1: A persistent (permanent, one-time) decline in the level of output, but the subsequent trend rate of growth is unchanged.

Type 2: No persistent decline in the level of output, but the subsequent trend rate of growth is reduced.

Type 3: Both a persistent decline in the level of output and a reduction in the subsequent trend rate of growth.

答案选B。Type2认为重大的政策变化会影响到长期的经济，正确。

至于是否会影响到当下的经济产出，结合这道题，这项补贴是用于鼓励竞争和培育新产品研发。

我们知道，新品研发，新技术开发，需要较长的周期。短期经济不会立即受到这一项的影响。因此不选C。

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C为什么不对

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