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wukefu · 2025年02月24日

Cambo的方法是两种方法的结合啊

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202105270100000203

问题如下:

Cambo compares her business cycle forecasting approach to the approach used by the chief economist. Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model using a composite index of leading indicators as the key input, whereas the chief economist uses a detailed econometric model to generate his economic forecasts.

Discuss strengths and weaknesses of the economic forecasting approaches used by Cambo and the chief economist.


选项:

解释:

题目种很明确的说了cambo是用了time series model + LDI的方法,为什么答案只提到了LDI的优缺点呢? 记得课上有一个相似的题目说的也是两种方法的结合




1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2025年02月24日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学~

这题主要比较Cambo 和 chief economist方法的优缺点。

所谓比较,其实就已经暗示了比较的地方是要和Cambo有所不同的。同样的东西就不需要作比较了。

题干又强调了Cambo方法中领先指标的元素。所以可以判断出是indicator与模型法的比较。

考试的时候,主要看题目强调了什么,以及题目是怎么问的,来确定是否用单一的approach。


同学理解成结合也没有太大的问题,并不影响解题。

因为模型法不需要再比较了。只需要比较LEI和模型法的区别。

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