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Alice_090 · 2025年02月07日

想请教一道书上的例题,谢谢老师~

NO.PZ2018091901000056

问题如下:

An investor is considering adding three new securities to her internationally focused fixed income portfolio. She considers the following non-callable securities:

1-year government bond

10-year government bond

10-year BBB rated corporate bond

She plans to invest equally in all three securities being analyzed or will invest in none of them at this time. She will only make the added investment provided that the expected spread/premium of the equally weighted investment is at least 1.5 percent (150bp) over the 1-year government bond. She has gathered the following information:

Using only the information given, calculate the expected total risk premium of the three securities and determine the investor’s probable course of action.

选项:

A.

invest equally in all three securities

B.

do not invest equally in all three securities

C.

uncertain

解释:

B is correct.

The average spread (over 1-year government bond) at issue is [0 + 1 + (1 + 0.75 + 0.55)] = 3.3%/3 = 1.1%.

As the 1.1% is less than 1.5%, the investor will not make the investment.

解析:1-year government bond没有任何风险溢价,所以它的SPREAD就是0

相比较于1-year government bond10-year government bondSPREAD1%

相比较于1-year government bond10-year corporate bondSPREAD1% + 0.75% + 0.55%

又因为这三类债券投资权重相等,所以直接求算数平均就可以求得投资的SPREAD,即

[0 + 1 + (1 + 0.75 + 0.55)] = 3.3%/3 = 1.1%.又因为这个SPREAD小于投资者想要的回报率1.5%,所以投资者不会去做投资。

请问教材P133的例题中关于credit premium方面,该如何理解因为违约增多而带来的expected return下降,所以credit premium下降呢?


个人理解,违约增多,市场情绪恐慌,因此bond应该给投资者更多的补偿,因此credit premium也会更高


1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2025年02月08日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


个人理解,违约增多,市场情绪恐慌,因此bond应该给投资者更多的补偿,因此credit premium也会更高

Hello,亲爱的同学~

同学理解正确。

强化讲义里写的是:违约率增加的时候,credit premium increase less。

increase less也是incresss,只是相对于违约率的增加幅度来说,增加得少。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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