NO.PZ2024120401000007
问题如下:
Suppose that the annual profit of two firms, one an
incumbent (Big Firm, X1) and the other a startup (Small
Firm, X2), can be described with the following probability
matrix:
Using the probability matrix for Big Firm and Small Firm, what is the correlation between the profits of these two firms?
选项:
A.0.384
B.0.350
C.23.37
D.43.7
解释:
The marginal distributions are computed by summing across rows for Big Firm and down columns for Small Firm. They are:
The variance can be computed using E[Xj2]- (E[Xj])2 .
For Big Firm, these values are E[X1] = 6.77% * (-50) + 43.02% * (0) + 34.38% * (10) + 15.83% * (100) = $15.88M, E[X12] = 1786.63 and V[X1] = 1534.36.
For Small Firm, these values are E[X2] = 6.70% * (-1) + 43.19% * (0) + 34.18% * (2) + 15.93% * (4) = $1.25M, E[X22] = 3.98 and V[X2] = 2.41.
The expected value of the cross product is E[X1X2] = ΣΣx1x2Pr(X1 = x1, X2 = x2) = 43.22.
The covariance is E[X1X2]- E [X1]×E[X2] = 43.22- 15.88 * 1.25 = 23.37 and the correlation is 23.37 / sqrt(2.41 * 1534.36) = 0.384.
E[X12] = 1786.63 and V[X1] = 1534.36 请问如何算的 谢谢