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北匈奴人 · 2025年02月02日

这题。。。咋一点都不会呢

NO.PZ2020012201000010

问题如下:

Sara Izek and Adam Berke are members of the asset allocation committee at Cycle Point Advisors, which emphasizes the business cycle within its tactical asset allocation process.

Berke has developed a time series model of the business cycle that uses a published LEI series as a key input. He presents forecasts based on the model at each asset allocation meeting.

Izek is eclectic in her approach, preferring to sample research from a wide variety of source seach month and then focus on whatever perspectives and results seem most interesting. She usually brings a stack of charts she has copied to the asset allocation meeting.

Which of the main forecasting approaches (or combination of approaches) best describe(s) each analyst’s own practice?

选项:


A.

Izek’s practice is essentially a LEI approach.

B.

Both Izek and Berke uses the econometric modeling approach in conjunction with the LEI approach.

C.

Berke uses the econometric modeling approach in conjunction with the LEI approach.

解释:

C is correct.

Berke 用的 time series model 属于econometric modeling approach范畴,同时他还用了 published LEI series 作为关键变量,所以也结合了LEI approach

而Izek喜欢每个月从各种各样的资源中选取研究样本,然后专注于最有趣的观点和结果,其中还包含了很多图和表。这是checklist approach.

这题。。。咋一点都不会呢

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2025年02月03日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


本题问Berke 和Izek应用了哪些方法。

econometric modeling approach是指对经济进行建模。

LEI是指用领先指标做经济预测。

checklist是指调查问卷,更加偏向主观。


结合本题,看题目信息点:

Berke开发了一个商业周期的时间序列模型,该模型使用已发布的LEI系列作为关键输入。他在每次资产配置会议上都会根据模型提出预测。

时间序列模型属于econometric modeling approach的一种,且配合LEI。因此选C。


Izek的方法不拘一格,她更喜欢每个月从各种各样的来源中抽取研究样本,然后专注于任何看起来最有趣的观点和结果。她通常会带一堆她复制的图表去参加资产配置会议。

从描述看,Izek的方法是checklist。

因此A和B不选。




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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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NO.PZ2020012201000010问题如下 Sara Izek anAm Berke are members of the asset allocation committee Cycle Point Aisors, whiemphasizes the business cycle within its tacticasset allocation process.Berke hvelopea time series mol of the business cycle thuses a publisheLEI series a key input. He presents forecasts baseon the mol eaasset allocation meeting.Izek is eclectic in her approach, preferring to sample researfrom a wi variety of sourseamonth anthen focus on whatever perspectives anresults seem most interesting. She usually brings a staof charts she hcopieto the asset allocation meeting.Whiof the main forecasting approaches (or combination of approaches) best scribe(s) eaanalyst’s own practice? A.Izek’s practiis essentially a LEI approach.B.Both Izek anBerke uses the econometric moling approain conjunction with the LEI approach.C.Berke uses the econometric moling approain conjunction with the LEI approach. C is correct.Berke 用的 time series mol 属于econometric moling approach范畴,同时他还用了 publisheLEI series 作为关键变量,所以也结合了LEI approa而Izek喜欢每个月从各种各样的资源中选取研究样本,然后专注于最有趣的观点和结果,其中还包含了很多图和表。这是checklist approach. C为什么正确?哪里能看出结合了LEI approach?

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2025-01-10 19:19 1 · 回答

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