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Mia Li · 2025年01月29日

请问老师

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NO.PZ201803130100000602

问题如下:

Construct the overall goals-based asset allocation for the Armstrongs given their three goals and Abbott’s suggestion for investing any excess capital. Show your calculations.

Show your calculations.

解释:

Guideline Answer:
■ The module that should be selected for each goal is the one that o
ers the highest return given the time horizon and required probability of success.
■ Approximately 16.4%, 12.7%, 50.4%, and 20.5% should be invested in Modules A, B, C, and D, respectively. The appropriate goals-based allocation for the Armstrongs is as follows:


Supporting calculations:
For Goal 1, which has a time horizon of five years and a required probability of success of 85%, Module C should be chosen because its 4.4% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of Goal 1 is calculated as follows:
N = 5, FV = –5,000,000, I/Y = 4.4%; CPT PV = $4,031,508 (or $4.03 million)
So, approximately 50.4% of the total assets of $8 million (= $4.03 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module C.

For Goal 2, which has a time horizon of 10 years and a required probability of success of 99%, Module B should be chosen because its 2.2% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of Goal 2 is calculated as follows:

PV=$100,000/(1.022)1+$100,000(1.03)1/(1.022)2+$100,000(1.03)2/(1.022)3+...+$100,000(1.03)9/(1.022)10

PV = $1,013,670 (or $1.01 million)

So, approximately 12.7% of the total assets of $8 million (= $1.01 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module B.

For Goal 3, which has a time horizon of 25 years and a required probability of success of 75%, Module D should be chosen because its 7.5% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of
Goal 3 is calculated as follows:
N = 25, FV = –10,000,000, I/Y = 7.5%; CPT PV = $1,639,791 (or $1.64 million)
So, approximately 20.5% of the total assets of $8 million (= $1.64 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module D.

Finally, the surplus of $1,315,032 (= $8,000,000 – $4,031,508 – $1,013,670 –$1,639,791), representing 16.4% (= $1.32 million/$8.00 million), should be invested in Module A following Abbott’s suggestion.

请问考试中需要像解析里写出计算器按键过程吗?例如N = 5, FV = –5,000,000, I/Y = 4.4%; CPT PV = $4,031,508 (or $4.03 million)

1 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2025年01月29日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好:


在CFA三级的主观题考试中,是不需要写出金融计算器的按键过程的,只要把最终的结果写的正确且完整就可以。而且由于机考输入方式我们都不熟悉,所以公式也不需要写的,就算你公式写正确了,答案是错的,也是没有分数的。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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NO.PZ201803130100000602 问题如下 Construtheoverall goals-baseasset allocation for the Armstrongs given their three goalsanAbbott’s suggestion for investing any excess capital. Show yourcalculations.Show your calculations. Guiline Answer:■ The mole thshoulselectefor eagois the one thoffers the highest return given the time horizon anrequireprobability of success.■ Approximately 16.4%, 12.7%, 50.4%, an20.5% shoulinvestein Moles an respectively. The appropriate goals-baseallocation for the Armstrongs is follows:Supporting calculations:For Go1, whiha time horizon of five years ana requireprobability of success of 85%, Mole C shoulchosen because its 4.4% expectereturn is higher ththe expectereturns of all the other moles. The present value of Go1 is calculatefollows:N = 5, FV = –5,000,000, I/Y = 4.4%; CPT PV = $4,031,508 (or $4.03 million)So, approximately 50.4% of the totassets of $8 million (= $4.03 million/$8.00 million) shoulallocateto Mole For Go2, whiha time horizon of 10 years ana requireprobability of success of 99%, Mole B shoulchosen because its 2.2% expectereturn is higher ththe expectereturns of all the other moles. The present value of Go2 is calculatefollows:PV=$100,000/(1.022)1+$100,000(1.03)1/(1.022)2+$100,000(1.03)2/(1.022)3+...+$100,000(1.03)9/(1.022)10PV = $1,013,670 (or $1.01 million)So, approximately 12.7% of the totassets of $8 million (= $1.01 million/$8.00 million) shoulallocateto Mole For Go3, whiha time horizon of 25 years ana requireprobability of success of 75%, Mole shoulchosen because its 7.5% expectereturn is higher ththe expectereturns of all the other moles. The present value ofGo3 is calculatefollows:N = 25, FV = –10,000,000, I/Y = 7.5%; CPT PV = $1,639,791 (or $1.64 million)So, approximately 20.5% of the totassets of $8 million (= $1.64 million/$8.00 million) shoulallocateto Mole Finally, the surplus of $1,315,032 (= $8,000,000 – $4,031,508 – $1,013,670 –$1,639,791), representing 16.4% (= $1.32 million/$8.00 million), shoulinvestein Mole A following Abbott’s suggestion. 1.1) go1 : mole Cwith 85% succussfully probobility an5 yetime horizon, using ta from Exhibit 1, mole C hthe highest minimun expectation returns, whicminimize initiasset requirement.2) go2 : mole Bwith 99% succussfully probobility an10 yetime horizon, using ta from Exhibit 1, mole B hthe highest minimun expectation returns, whicminimize initiasset requirement.3) go1 : mole ith 75% succussfully probobility an25 yetime horizon, using ta from Exhibit 1, mole hthe highest minimun expectation returns, whicminimize initiasset requirement.2.mole A 16.5%, mole B 12.62%, mole C 50.38%, mole 20.5%go1, choosing to allocate in mole using minimize expectation return =4.4%, calculation PV=5/(1.044)^5 = 4.03m, 4.03/8 = 50.38%go2, choosing to allocate in mole using minimize expectation return=2.2%, calculation PV=100000/1.022+100000(1.03)/1.022^2+.....+100000(1.03)^9/1.022^10 = 1.01m 1.01/8=12.62%go3, choosing to allocate in mole using minimize expectation return =7.5%, PV=10/(1.075)^25 =1.64m,1.64/8=20.5%excess capitinvesting in mole = 8-4.03-1.01-1.64=1.32m 1.32/8= 16.5%

2025-01-17 16:54 3 · 回答

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