NO.PZ202301280200000803
问题如下:
Calculate the value of the variance swap six months from initiation.
选项:
解释:
Correct
Answer:
The value of the
variance swap at time t is given by the formula:
VarSwapt
= Variance notional × PVt (T) × {t/T × [Realized Vol(0,t)]2
+ [(T – t)/T)] × [ImpliedVol(t,T)]2 – Strike2}
Variance notional
= Vega notional / (2 × Strike) = $10,000,000/ (2 × 23) = $217,391
Realized
volatility = 152 = 225
Implied volatility
= 182 = 324
t = 6
T = 12
The present value
interest factor after six months (discounting for six months where annual
interest rate is 4.08%):
PVt(T)
= 1 / [1 + (4.08% × (6/12))] = 0.98
Var Swap =
$217,391 × 0.98 × {[(6/12) × 225] + [(6/12) × 324] – 529}
= $217,391 × 0.98 × (– 254.50)
= – $54,219,565.22
Given that
Nikolayev is short the variance swap, the mark-to-market value is positive for
Nikolayev.
Value of the
variance swap = $54,219,565
variance notional=217391
discount ratio=0.98
value of the variance wap=217391 *098 *(529- 274.5)=54219564
the value of the variance swap six months from initiation is 54219564