NO.PZ2024082801000016
问题如下:
Question An analyst is investigating whether a time series xt has a unit root. To implement a Dickey–Fuller test, the analyst must first run a simple linear regression where the dependent variable is the first difference of the time series (xt – xt–1) and the independent variable is the:
选项:
A.A.first lag of the time series (xt–1).
B.B.first lag of the time series minus one (xt–1 – 1).
C.C.first lag of the first difference of the time series (xt–1 – xt–2).
解释:
A is Correct because, according to the Dickey–Fuller test, if there is a unit root in the AR(1) model (xt – xt–1 = b0 + g1xt–1 + εt), then g1 will be 0 in a regression where the dependent variable is the first difference of the time series (xt – xt–1) and the independent variable is the first lag of the time series (xt–1).
B is Incorrect because, in a Dickey–Fuller test, the independent variable is the first lag of the time series, not the first lag of the time series minus one.
C is Incorrect because, in a Dickey–Fuller test, the independent variable is the first lag of the time series, not the first lag of the first difference of the time series.
我不是很理解,为什么自变量不是(Xt-1-Xt-2),而只是简单的Xt-1