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monicaaaaa · 2024年12月29日

答案的公式

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NO.PZ202410180200002403

问题如下:

Evaluate Patel’s ability to generate his retirement needs in 10 years after accounting for the effects of inflation on his small business income and his securities portfolio value

选项:

解释:

Patel requires EUR200,000 of real purchasing power throughout retirement. His pension income will adjust for inflation, so this amounts to EURS0,000 of real income. So, he needs EURlS0,000 of real income from his securities portfolio and his small business income. The effects of inflation on his small business income are as follows if it remains at a nominal amount of EUR120,000 per year: Real business income in 10 years = 120,000 x (1 - 0.05)^10 = 71,848 So, in 10 years, the inflation of 5% annually is expected to reduce the purchasing power of Patel's small business income to EUR71,848. Deducting this amount from EURlS0,000 gives a subtotal of EUR78,152. Can the securities portfolio provide this amount of income in 10 years? Applying the following formula to the value of the securities portfolio:

FVIF tx,inflation==[l + r (1-tx)]^T— (1 —π)^ T=[1 + 0.065 (1 — 0)] ^10— (1 — 0.05) ^10 = 1.27840

Multiplying this amount by the current portfolio value of EUR4 million gives EURS,113,600. The securities portfolio generates a 2% pretax cash distribution taxed annually at a 40% rate; thus, the after-tax distribution is 1.2% of the portfolio value. Cash distribution in real terms in 10 years = 0.012 x 5,113,600 = EUR61,363 Thus, Patel faces an income shortfall in 10 years ofEUR16,789 (= 78,152— 61,363). To cover the shortfall, Patel may have to consider liquidating small portions of his securities portfolio to generate additional cash flow each year. Of course, such reductions will cause a decline in the value of his portfolio, thus also reducing future cash distributions from the portfolio, so these would have to be considered as well.

答案里FVIF tx,inf = [1+r(1-tx)]^T-(1-inf)^T中,我理解是把通货膨胀作为了减项,但是为什么公式里还要有(1-tx)的部分呢?我看答案是假设tx为0,这里可以怎么理解呢

1 个答案

费费_品职助教 · 2024年12月30日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好

1.教材答案用的是减法,也可以使用讲义上除法的公式。

2.在计算组合400万在10年之后经过6.5%capital gain增长的现值时没有考虑税收,只有卖出确认收益的时候才有capital gain tax,所以代入的tx=0

3.这道题是为了计算第10年的现金分红,分红率是2%,税率是40%,而分红的基准是组合的价值,所以需要用到第二问的FV。

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NO.PZ202410180200002403 问题如下 Evaluate Patel’s ability to generate his retirement nee in 10 years after accounting for the effects of inflation on his small business income anhis securities portfolio value Patel requires EUR200,000 of repurchasing power throughout retirement. His pension income will aust for inflation, so this amounts to EURS0,000 of reincome. So, he nee EURlS0,000 of reincome from his securities portfolio anhis small business income. The effects of inflation on his small business income are follows if it remains a nominamount of EUR120,000 per year: Rebusiness income in 10 years = 120,000 x (1 - 0.05)^10 = 71,848 So, in 10 years, the inflation of 5% annually is expecteto rethe purchasing power of Patel's small business income to EUR71,848. cting this amount from EURlS0,000 gives a subtotof EUR78,152. Cthe securities portfolio provi this amount of income in 10 years? Applying the following formula to the value of the securities portfolio:FVIF tx,inflation==[l + r (1-tx)]^T— (1 —π)^ T=[1 + 0.065 (1 — 0)] ^10— (1 — 0.05) ^10 = 1.27840Multiplying this amount the current portfolio value of EUR4 million gives EURS,113,600. The securities portfolio generates a 2% pretcash stribution taxeannually a 40% rate; thus, the after-tstribution is 1.2% of the portfolio value. Cash stribution in reterms in 10 years = 0.012 x 5,113,600 = EUR61,363 Thus, Patel faces income shortfall in 10 years ofEUR16,789 (= 78,152— 61,363). To cover the shortfall, Patel mhave to consir liquiting small portions of his securities portfolio to generate aitioncash flow eayear. Of course, surections will cause a cline in the value of his portfolio, thus also recing future cash stributions from the portfolio, so these woulhave to consirewell. 这个55315我能看懂,但答案里面的61,363 是怎么来的?考试的时候,这两个答案都是对的吗?1. 这道题目是让咱们评估这个人是否有能力通过【他的小企业+证券组合价值】来满足【考虑了通胀影响的退休需求】。解题思路是分别计算这两部分的数值,比较大小。2. 【考虑了通胀影响的退休需求】他每年需求时200,000,随通胀调整;同时养老金pension是50000也是每年随通胀调整的。所以他实际需要150,0003. 他公司收入每年是120,000,10年后经过通胀调整=120000*(1-5%)^10=71848. 所以现在的缺口=150000-71848=78152,看他的组合能否在10年后分红和利息达到这个数值。4. 10年后组合的价值=[4000000*(1+6.5%)/(1+5%)]^10=4609598. 每年分红率是2%,征税40%,所以第10年得到的分红(cash stribution)=4609598*(2%*(1-40%))=4609598*1.2%=55315小于78152,所以不能满足。5. 注意教材给的参考答案在处理通胀的时候用了简易算法,即实际利率≈名义利率-通胀率。 我们也可以按照教材给的公式,对通胀的处理用除法,除以(1+infl)^T

2024-12-24 15:55 1 · 回答

NO.PZ202410180200002403 问题如下 Evaluate Patel’s ability to generate his retirement nee in 10 years after accounting for the effects of inflation on his small business income anhis securities portfolio value Patel requires EUR200,000 of repurchasing power throughout retirement. His pension income will aust for inflation, so this amounts to EURS0,000 of reincome. So, he nee EURlS0,000 of reincome from his securities portfolio anhis small business income. The effects of inflation on his small business income are follows if it remains a nominamount of EUR120,000 per year: Rebusiness income in 10 years = 120,000 x (1 - 0.05)^10 = 71,848 So, in 10 years, the inflation of 5% annually is expecteto rethe purchasing power of Patel's small business income to EUR71,848. cting this amount from EURlS0,000 gives a subtotof EUR78,152. Cthe securities portfolio provi this amount of income in 10 years? Applying the following formula to the value of the securities portfolio:FVIF tx,inflation==[l + r (1-tx)]^T— (1 —π)^ T=[1 + 0.065 (1 — 0)] ^10— (1 — 0.05) ^10 = 1.27840Multiplying this amount the current portfolio value of EUR4 million gives EURS,113,600. The securities portfolio generates a 2% pretcash stribution taxeannually a 40% rate; thus, the after-tstribution is 1.2% of the portfolio value. Cash stribution in reterms in 10 years = 0.012 x 5,113,600 = EUR61,363 Thus, Patel faces income shortfall in 10 years ofEUR16,789 (= 78,152— 61,363). To cover the shortfall, Patel mhave to consir liquiting small portions of his securities portfolio to generate aitioncash flow eayear. Of course, surections will cause a cline in the value of his portfolio, thus also recing future cash stributions from the portfolio, so these woulhave to consirewell. 红色划线部分的数据是哪里来的?1.2%是从哪里来的?5113600是从哪里来的

2024-10-25 10:12 1 · 回答