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西红柿面 · 2024年12月02日

这道题只是问的是运用历史估计法计算地产的收益的问题

NO.PZ2020012102000007

问题如下:

Describe the main issues that arise when conducting historical analysis of real estate returns.

选项:

解释:

Properties trade infrequently so there is no data on simultaneous periodic transaction prices for a selection of properties. Analysis therefore relies on appraisals. Secondly, each property is different, it is said to be heterogenous. The returns calculated from appraisals represent weighted averages of unobservable returns. Published return series is too smooth and the sample volatility understates the true volatility of returns. It also distorts estimates of correlations.

解析:房地产交易不频繁,因此没有选择房地产的同时定期交易价格的数据。因此,分析依赖于评价。其次,每个属性都是不同的,它被称为异质的。从估价中计算出的收益是不可观察到的收益的加权平均数。公布的收益序列过于平滑,样本波动率低估了收益的真实波动率。它还扭曲了对相关性的估计。

如果我只回答“收益序列过于平滑,样本波动率低估了收益的真实波动率。它还扭曲了对相关性的估计。”可以吗?


不说Heterogeneity、Indivisibility、Immobility是否正确?因为这些我觉得是地产的特性而不是跟历史估计法相关的特性

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2024年12月02日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:



同学讲的有一定的道理,不过本题是原版书上的题目,答案也是官方给的。

我们讲义最后还是说一下。Immobility本身也是历史数据得出来它流动性比较差。

而Heterogeneity、Indivisibility也通过历史数据能反映出的特点,讲白了这些都可以看做是历史数据问题的衍生。


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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