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梦梦 · 2024年11月11日

关于long time horizon

NO.PZ2023091701000115

问题如下:

A financial institution is planning to add stressed VaR to the measures it uses to assess market risk. In preparation for this development, a risk analyst at the institution researches the differences between stressed VaR and traditional VaR, including the appropriate data, time horizons, and distributions. Which of the following is a major characteristic of stressed VaR that distinguishes it from traditional VaR?

选项:

A.Stressed VaR is based on an unconditional loss distribution rather than a conditional loss distribution.

B.Stressed VaR typically uses much longer time horizons, often several months or years.

C.Stressed VaR uses a different assumed probability distribution as an input compared to traditional VaR.

D.

Stressed VaR is not necessarily based on data from the immediately preceding period, unlike traditional VaR.

解释:

D is correct. VaR is traditionally calculated using data from the period immediately preceding the analysis. In stressed VaR, however, this data is gathered from a particularly stressful period in the past, which would not necessarily include the immediately preceding period.

A is incorrect. Stressed VaR produces a conditional loss distribution and is a conditional risk measure.

B is incorrect. Typically, the time horizon for stressed VaR is a short period (i.e., one to ten days).

C is incorrect. Stressed VaR is calculated from historical data, rather than assuming a probability distribution of losses.


老师,讲义红线这句,为啥选项long time horizon是错的呢

3 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年11月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


嗯,大体上就是这个区别了,stress tesing其他的内容会在二级里面学到。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年11月12日

好的,谢谢

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年11月12日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


是的,时间长度:stress var/es小于stress testing小于普通var。


stress testing是一个比较宽泛的概念,不仅仅是测算极端情况下的风险指标,还是测算银行在极端经济环境下的应对情况。而stress var/es仅仅就是算一下var与es这两个指标。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年11月12日

哦哦,等于stress testing测算好多指标,但是stress var/es就是测算var和es,没别的区别了吧

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年11月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


下面这个讲义写的longer time的意思是,Stress Testing的time horizon比stressed VaR和ES的time horizon更长:



但是Stressed VaR的time horizon依然是小于普通的VaR:

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年11月12日

哦哦,也就是对time horizion来说,按从小到大排序:stress var/es小于stress testing小于普通var? stress var/es和stress testing除了time horizon还有什么区别?

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