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梦梦 · 2024年11月11日

board market indexes是什么意思?

NO.PZ2023091701000100

问题如下:

The historical simulation approach is more likely to provide an accurate estimate of the VaR than the Risk Metrics approach for a portfolio that consists of:

选项:

A.A small number of emerging market securities.

B.A small number of broad market indexes.

C.A large number of emerging market securities.

D.A large number of board market indexes.

解释:

The Risk Metrics approach is a delta-normal model that requires the returns to be approximately normally distributed, while the historical simulation model requires much less stringent assumptions. The returns on a portfolio with small number of securities is less likely to be normally distributed than a larger portfolio and an emerging markets index is less likely to be normally distributed than a broad market index. Therefore the historical simulation approach will most likely provide a better VaR estimate than Risk Metrics for a portfolio with a small number of emerging market securities.

老师,board market indexes是什么意思呢?

这题是不是有点变扭,感觉A没解释historical simulation 为什么估计var更准确,是想说因为包含了很少的新型市场数据,偏离度不高?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年11月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


broad market indexes(D选项印错了,应该是broad)。意思是涵盖范围很广泛的市场指数。在发达国家的成熟资本市场比较常见,比如美国的标普指数。


risk metrics就是用正态分布的公式去计算VaR,前提是资产必须服从正态分布才行。而样本足够多并且涵盖范围广泛的市场指数,其收益率比较接近正态分布。用这种收益率的数据按照公式法计算VaR,是比较合适的。


而如果样本量太少,或者市场属于新兴国家(资本市场不够成熟),这种收益率不会服从正态分布,这种情况下用historical simulation更好。题目问你什么情况下historical simulation更好,那就是A选项了。

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梦梦 · 2024年11月11日

明白了,谢谢