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mino酱是个小破货 · 2024年11月09日

老师，这么答可以吗，谢谢

  1. CFA III
  2. Capital Market Expectations

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NO.PZ202105270100000203

问题如下：

Cambo compares her business cycle forecasting approach to the approach used by the chief economist. Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model using a composite index of leading indicators as the key input, whereas the chief economist uses a detailed econometric model to generate his economic forecasts.

Discuss strengths and weaknesses of the economic forecasting approaches used by Cambo and the chief economist.


选项：

解释：

(1)Leading indicator-based approach

Strengths:simple and datas are available from third party. the method can forecast the turning potint

Weakness: Little more than binary result. Can provide false signal.Overfitted in sample.

(2)Economic forecasting approaches

Strengths: The model can be robust.Quantative estimation. Impose consistency on analysis.

Weakness:False sense of precion. Complex and time-consuming. Can't predicting the turning points.

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1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年11月11日

嗨，努力学习的PZer你好：


老师，这么答可以吗，谢谢

Hello，亲爱的同学~

这么回答是可以的。

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