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皓月 · 2024年11月04日

这题解析没懂

NO.PZ2021120102000002

问题如下:

An analyst manages an active fixed-income fund that is benchmarked to the Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Index.

This index of US government bonds currently has a modified portfolio duration of 7.25 and an average maturity of 8.5 years. The yield curve is upward-sloping and expected to remain unchanged. Which of the following is the least attractive portfolio positioning strategy in a static curve environment?

选项:

A.

Purchasing a 10-year zero-coupon bond with a yield of 2% and a price of 82.035

B.

Entering a pay-fixed, 30-year USD interest rate swap

C.

Purchasing a 20-year Treasury and financing it in the repo market

解释:

B is correct.

The 30-year pay-fixed swap is a “short” duration position and also results in negative carry (that is, the fixed rate paid would exceed MRR received) in an upward-sloping yield curve environment; therefore, it is the least attractive static curve strategy.

In the case of a.), the manager enters a “buy-and-hold” strategy by purchasing the 10-year zero-coupon bond and extends duration, which is equal to 9.80 = 10/1.02 since the Macaulay duration of a zero equals its maturity, and ModDur = MacDur/(1+r) versus 7.25 for the index.

Under c.), the manager introduces leverage by purchasing a long-term bond and financing it at a lower short-term repo rate.

我蒙对的,但是没看懂为什么选择这个

1 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年11月05日

这道题考的是stable yield curve下的策略。

已知是stable yield curve,benchmark投资的债券是8.5 years,其duration是7.25

现在问,对于组合而言,哪个策略是least attractive的一项。

在stable yield curve下,组合可以增强收益的策略有:

  • buy-and-hold(extend duration增加组合duration/Maturity)
  • roll down the yield curve
  • leverage

buy-and-hold时,买入期限比benchmark更长的债券,因为是Upward sloping的yield curve,长期债券的收益率更高,这可以获得比Benchmark更高的收益。债券的期限更长其实就是duration更大,所以这个增强收益的策略也叫extend duration。

选项A说买入期限为10年期的零息债券。

Purchasing a 10-year zero-coupon bond with a yield of 2% and a price of 82.035

该债券的期限是10年,大于benchmark的8.5年,且因为是零息债券,所以其Macaulay duration=maturity=10年。其Modified duration=10/(1+2%) = 9.80,这个duration和maturity确实比benchmark要大,所以选项A可以增强收益,是extend duration。

 

选项B是进入一个30年期的Pay fixed receive floating swap:

Entering a pay-fixed, 30-year USD interest rate swap

30年期Pay-fixed swap,要支付30年的fixed coupon,这相当于就是发行了一个30年期的固定利率债券。发行债券是short duration,所以获得short 30-year债券duration头寸

在swap里面的receive floating,是收到浮动利率cash flow,相当于是买入了浮动利率债券,这获得浮动利率债券的正duration。

于是该swap的duration是:

short 30-year债券的duration + 获得浮动利率债券的正duration

由于浮动利率债券的duration极小,所以这个swap是会获得negative duration。这会降低组合的duration。不符合在stable yield curve时,extend duration的策略。

且,本题是upward sloping yield curve,长期利率更大,30年期利率要远远大于floating rate,所以Pay 30-year fixed,receive floating,支付30year利率,收到短期浮动利率,我们会有negative cash flow。这也不是一个最佳的策略。所以本题B不是stable yield curve下的最佳策略。

 

选项C:

Purchasing a 20-year Treasury and financing it in the repo market

买入一个20年期的债券,这个债券的期限明显大于benchmark的8.5 years,是extend duration,且选项C还额外用repo策略融资了。所以选项C是一个加杠杆的策略。在stable yield curve下这会进一步加大收益。所以本题C也是一个最佳的策略。

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