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sliang · 2024年11月04日

fixed income

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NO.PZ202112010200001901

问题如下:

Which bond rating category offers the highest expected excess return if credit spreads remain stable under current market conditions?

选项:

A.

A rated bond category

B.

BBB rated bond category

C.

BB rated bond category

解释:

B is correct. Recall that expected excess spread is defined as follows:

E [Excess Spread] ≈ Spread0 – (EffSpreadDur × ΔSpread) – (POD × LGD)

Because ∆Spread = 0, the expected excess spread is the simple difference between current OAS and expected loss, so E[Excess Spread] is 0.90%, 1.00%, and 0.25% for the A-, BBB-, and B rated categories, respectively.

这题的考点我理解的是在credit curve remain constant的条件下,买哪个债券获利最多。如果是这样的话,就不考虑credit spread和loss,那就直接选一个rating最低,也就是credit spread最大的,就是BBrating的那个。但是答案明显是考虑了 default loss的因素,请问题目里说了credit spread remain constant,那就是credit不变,就是不会default, 为什么还要考虑default loss呢?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年11月05日

EXR=Spread0 - △spread×duration - LGD×PD

这个公式相当于是分开包括了债券的各种情况影响:

Spread0 - △spread×duration,这两项是债券不违约情况下的收益

LGD×PD是债券违约下带来的影响。

 

以上这三项的信息都是分开给的,不相互涉及。

比如,这道题的credit curve remains constant是想告诉我们,△spread=0,则△spread×duration的影响为0,债券正常状态下的收益只有spread0.

但注意,这个信息不涉及到对于default的讨论。题目没有说不考虑default,所以本题在计算时,default这一项要加上。

如果说要忽略default的话,题目会说assume no default, ignore expected loss这些话术。

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