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shining · 2024年10月27日

存在波动率微笑股权如何估值呢

NO.PZ2018122701000086

问题如下:

You are asked to mark to market a book of plain vanilla stock options. The trader is short deep out-of-money options and long at-the-money options. There is a pronounced smile for these options. The trader’s bonus increases as the value of his book increases. Which approach should you use to mark the book?

选项:

A.

Use the implied volatility of at-the-money options because the estimation of the volatility is more reliable.

B.

Use the average of the implied volatilities for the traded options for which you have data because all options should have the same implied volatility with Black-Scholes and you don’t know which one is the right one.

C.

For each option, use the implied volatility of the most similar option traded on the market.

D.

Use the historical volatility because doing so corrects for the pricing mistakes in the option market.

解释:

C is correct.

考点 Volatility Smile

解析 The prices obtained with C are the right ones because they correspond to prices at which you could sell or buy the options.

如果存在波动率微笑,BSM模型还能使用吗 如果无法使用,还可以用什么对期权进行估值呢,二叉树和蒙特卡洛模拟吗 可是,蒙特卡洛模拟是通过发射随机数的方式,这种方法估值会用到波动率嘛

1 个答案
已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年10月27日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


如果波动率微笑很严重,那么BSM模型会失真。


蒙特卡洛模拟可以用,首先要设定波动率符合怎样的分布规律(让σ从常数变成一个函数),然后模拟出股票价格的随机路径(路径是用股票的μ和σ函数模拟出来的),最后得出期权的价值。


二叉树也可以用,但是σ也要从常数调整为变动的函数。

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