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二狗 · 2024年10月24日

这里的EPS是纯干扰吗

NO.PZ2022061307000080

问题如下:

Question

The following data pertain to a company that can be appropriately valued using the Gordon growth model. The dividend is expected to grow indefinitely at the existing sustainable growth rate.


The stock’s intrinsic value is closest to:

选项:

A.$34.62. B.$37.94. C.$41.90.

解释:

Solution

C is correct. V0=D0(1+g)r/g where

Sustainable growth rate = g = b × ROE

b = (1 – Payout ratio)

g = (1 – 0.45) × 15% = 8.25%

V0 = ($3 × 1.0825)/(0.16 – 0.0825) = $41.90

A is incorrect. It uses payout ratio instead of retention ratio (b) to compute sustainable growth rate

g = 0.45 × 15% = 6.75%

V0 = $3(1.0675)/(0.16 – 0.0675) = $34.62

B is incorrect. It uses the EPS growth instead of sustainable growth rate.

V0 = $3(1.075)/(0.16 – 0.075) = $37.94

好容易记混……

1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年10月24日

同学你好,是的,这个EPS的增长率是不需要考虑的,因为GGM和DDM最严格的要用的都是分红的增长率而不是EPS的

此外,本题这个EPS的增长率还是过去3年的平均的意思,就更不能用了,估值只和未来的增长率有关,和过去无关

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