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yan · 2024年10月10日

1.文中哪里显示short了?2.short和SEK利率降低(紧缩政策)、forward premium是什么关系?没看懂

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NO.PZ201601050100000403

问题如下:

3. Given the recent movement in the forward premium for the SEK/EUR rate, Björk can expect that the hedge will experience higher:

选项:

A.

basis risk.

B.

roll yield.

C.

premia income.

解释:

B is correct.

To hedge the EUR-denominated assets Björk will be selling forward contracts on the SEK/EUR cross rate. A higher forward premium will result in higher roll return as Björk is selling the EUR forward at a higher all-in forward rate, and closing out the contract at a lower rate (all else equal), given that the forward curve is in contango.

A is incorrect because Björk is hedging EUR-denominated assets with a EUR-denominated forward contract. While it is true that the gap between spot and forward rates will be higher the higher the interest rate differential between countries, this gap (basis) converges to zero near maturity date, when the forward contracts would be rolled.

C is incorrect because forward contracts do not generate premia income; writing options does.

中文解析:

这道题目从roll yield的公式来判断。

首先明确一下持有的是外币EUR的资产,因此是short forward on SEK/EUR。此时roll yield的计算式子是F-S/S。

而forward premium指的是F>S,所以根据roll yield的公式可知,roll yield为正,即有更高的roll yield的。

C选项指的是期权费,本题不涉及,A选项的基差风险本题也不涉及。



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已采纳答案

pzqa35 · 2024年10月11日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


1.题目中SEK是本币,投资者持有EUR的外币资产,为了hedge外汇风险,需要short EUR,题目中forward的标价形式是SEK/EUR,因此是short forward on SEK/EUR,这个是需要我们来判断他是如何hedge的,而不是题目中直接告诉我们的哈。

2.如果是short forward,roll yield=(F-S)/S,现在题目中告诉我们由于紧缩的政策使得forward points have swang to premium,forward points=F-S,说明现在的F-S是大于0,因此roll yield也大于0了,所以这个变动会使得roll yield增加。

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