请看这道题:
Q. Given the futures position entered into by the pension fund, Ruelas most likely believes interest rates will:
- fall.
- rise.
- remain the same.
Ruelas explains that he uses futures contracts on euro-denominated German government bonds to reduce the duration gap between assets and liabilities. However, because the pension fund has only a small surplus and he would like to increase this surplus through active management of the portfolio, he employs a contingent immunization strategy. The fund is currently short 254 contracts based on a 10-year bond with a par value of EUR100,000 and a basis point value (BPV) of EUR97.40 per contract.
这道题看过其他回答,他认为将来利率会下跌,Positve duration gap让资产增值相对更快,能扩大Pesnion的Surplus。
还有另一个回答是这个:
“当然可能会有疑问,在使用Futures之前,资产的BPV就已经大于负债的BPV了,如果不使用Futures调整,资产端的BPV数据更大,在利率降低的情况下上涨更多,为什么还要先使用Futures降低一点资产的BPV呢?
因为这里的策略是Contingent immunization,要先在一定程度上达到Immunization,所以先Short futures,降低资产端的BPV,使得资产负债实现Contigent immunization的最低要求,超额部分才能做Active投资,所以故意留的正BPV缺口就是超额部分用来做Active投资的部分。”
我不太理解本身就是surplus的情况下,已经有很多超额部分可以去做active投资啊,预测将来利率下降,资产部分不用衍生品还能有更多surplus。所以为什么还要用Contingent immunization呢?这么做的目的和好处是什么呢?